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UEFA Europa Conference League

· League Stage - 1

HNK Hajduk Split

Not Started

Ajax

🏟 Stadion Poljud, Split

📋 League Stage - 1

📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium Risk

Ajax is favored with an 87% last five form and 90% attack rate compared to Hajduk's 83% and 70%, respectively. Comparison metrics show away form at 57% versus home at 43%, and season stats reveal Ajax scored 22 goals while Hajduk managed 14. Although the Poisson distribution slightly favors the home side at 53%, overall evidence supports an Away Win. The H2H remains neutral at 50-50, but multiple independent metrics converge for Ajax. This pick carries a moderate risk despite minor conflicting signals. Overall, the confidence is 80%.

Best Value

★★★★★

Ajax

Team to Score First

Ajax’s proactive approach is highlighted by a 90% attacking rate over their last 5 matches and a strong league form (WWWDWW), outpacing Hajduk's performance. Season statistics show Ajax netting 22 goals compared to Hajduk’s 14, supporting the view that Ajax is more likely to score first. The early scoring tendency, combined with Ajax's superior performance metrics, indicates a significant value edge. Assuming bookmaker odds of 2.50, this pick offers an edge estimated to be well above 30%. Despite inherent match uncertainties, the convergence of evidence supports this value bet.

80%

prob.

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

Ajax last 5 form 87% and attack 90%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Away Win or Draw

Ajax league form advantage with 5 wins in 6 matches

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

HNK Hajduk Split

WWDWW

Ajax

WWDDW

Current Standings

Ajax

0 P 0 W 0 Pts

HNK Hajduk Split

0 P 0 W 0 Pts

Head to Head

9 Jan 22

Ajax

0–0

HNK Hajduk Split

League Standings

#	Team	Form
1	Mjallby AIF	<nil>
2	Brighton	<nil>
3	Monaco	<nil>
4	FK Jablonec	<nil>
5	Gent	<nil>
6	St. Truiden	<nil>
7	SC Freiburg	<nil>
8	Atalanta	<nil>
9	Ajax ●	<nil>
10	Twente	<nil>
11	Getafe	<nil>
12	KuPS	<nil>
13	CSKA Sofia	<nil>
14	HNK Hajduk Split ●	<nil>
15	Pafos	<nil>
16	Aarhus	<nil>
17	FC Copenhagen	<nil>
18	FC Midtjylland	<nil>
19	FC Nordsjaelland	<nil>
20	Panathinaikos	<nil>
21	Brann	<nil>
22	SC Braga	<nil>
23	Heart Of Midlothian	<nil>
24	FC Lugano	<nil>
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	<nil>
26	FC Thun	<nil>
27	Trabzonspor	<nil>
28	Borac Banja Luka	<nil>
29	Kairat Almaty	<nil>
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	<nil>
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	<nil>
32	Kauno Žalgiris	<nil>
33	Universitatea Craiova	<nil>
34	FC Iberia 1999	<nil>
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	<nil>
36	Riga	<nil>