Football
UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League
· League Stage - 1
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

3–2

Full Time

Villarreal

Villarreal

🏟 Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
🟡 Simone Sozza, Italy
📋 League Stage - 1
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home/Draw

Double Chance

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Low Risk

Double Chance (Home/Draw) is our top pick with 80% probability, leveraging a 60% home goal advantage and a strong H2H win of 4-0. This outcome minimizes risk by covering two potential results. Despite mixed H2H results including a 0-2 loss, the value in protecting against a draw is compelling. The combination of the 60% home goal metric and the safety net provided by a double chance supports this confident selection.

Best Value

Home/Draw

Double Chance

Using a value-driven approach, the Double Chance (Home/Draw) outcome remains optimal with an 80% probability and a fallback odd of 1.25, implying a strong value. The evidence is backed by a 60% home goals comparison and a decisive 4-0 victory in the H2H record. Despite some conflicting results like a 0-2 away loss, the protective double chance bet provides robust coverage. The convergence of the goals metric and H2H performance justifies its selection as a value bet with a high edge.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Home goals at 60% vs away 40%

60%

odds 1.67

Double Chance

Home/Draw

Home/Draw double chance at 80% probability

80%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
WLDWW
Villarreal
Villarreal
No data

Current Standings

12
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
1 P 1 W 3 Pts
21
Villarreal
Villarreal
1 P 0 W 0 Pts

Head to Head

8 Sept 26
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
3–2
Villarreal Villarreal
H
25 Nov 25
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
4–0
Villarreal Villarreal
H
6 Aug 24
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
2–2
Villarreal Villarreal
D
22 Jul 22
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
0–2
Villarreal Villarreal
A

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
1 1 3
2
Bayern München Bayern München
1 1 3
3
Barcelona Barcelona
1 1 3
4
Manchester United Manchester United
1 1 3
5
Como Como
1 1 3
6
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
1 1 3
7
Sporting CP Sporting CP
1 1 3
8
Manchester City Manchester City
1 1 3
9
Aston Villa Aston Villa
1 1 3
10
Lens Lens
1 1 3
11
Real Betis Real Betis
1 1 3
12
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
1 1 3
13
Liverpool Liverpool
1 1 3
14
Real Madrid Real Madrid
1 1 3
15
Arsenal Arsenal
1 1 3
16
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
1 1 3
17
AS Roma AS Roma
1 0 1
18
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
1 0 1
19
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
1 0 1
20
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
1 0 1
21
Villarreal Villarreal
1 0 0
22
Lille Lille
1 0 0
23
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
1 0 0
24
Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV
1 0 0
25
Inter Inter
1 0 0
26
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
1 0 0
27
Napoli Napoli
1 0 0
28
Lask Linz Lask Linz
1 0 0
29
Viking Viking
1 0 0
30
Galatasaray Galatasaray
1 0 0
31
FC Porto FC Porto
1 0 0
32
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
1 0 0
33
Feyenoord Feyenoord
1 0 0
34
Sabah FA Sabah FA
1 0 0
35
Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava
1 0 0
36
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
1 0 0
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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