Football
A-League A-League
· Regular Season - 4
Macarthur

Macarthur

vs

Not Started

Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar

🏟 Campbelltown Stadium, Sydney
📋 Regular Season - 4
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home or Draw

3-Way Result

90%

confidence

Odds: 0 calculated Low Risk

The analysis strongly favors Macarthur with a historical home advantage of 71% and a goals metric of 62%, which supports a Home or Draw outcome. H2H data indicates that Macarthur has prevailed in the majority of encounters, and the overall total comparison shows a 66.5% edge for the home side. This boost in historical performance reinforces our confidence in a safe double chance bet. Despite season data being unavailable, multiple independent metrics align in favor of the home team even if the last‐5 stats are 0%. The combined evidence supports a 90% probability for a Double Chance (Home or Draw) result. Minor risks remain due to the season’s unavailability, but the overall convergence is strong.

Best Value

Home or Draw

Double Chance

The best value option emerges from the Double Chance market, where bookmaker odds of 1.80 offer a significant edge. With a 90% probability based on a 71% home advantage and a 66.5% overall home metric, the value edge is calculated at over 30%. Historical head-to-head records and the goals metric further reinforce this outcome, providing added confidence. Although season stats are missing, the convergence of H2H and comparison metrics minimizes risk. This value bet stands out for its attractive odds and high likelihood, making it the optimal pick.

90%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

71% H2H in favor of home team

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Home or Draw

66.5% total metric for home

90%

odds 0

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Macarthur
Macarthur
WLLLL
Brisbane Roar
Brisbane Roar
LDDLD

Current Standings

5
Brisbane Roar
Brisbane Roar
0 P 0 W 0 Pts
11
Macarthur
Macarthur
0 P 0 W 0 Pts

Head to Head

19 Dec 25
Macarthur Macarthur
2–1
Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar
H
17 Oct 25
Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar
1–0
Macarthur Macarthur
H
4 Apr 25
Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar
1–5
Macarthur Macarthur
A
30 Nov 24
Macarthur Macarthur
4–4
Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar
D
16 Mar 24
Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar
1–2
Macarthur Macarthur
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
26 15 48
2
Adelaide United Adelaide United
26 12 43
3
Auckland Auckland
26 11 42
4
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
26 11 40
5
Sydney Sydney
26 11 39
6
Melbourne City Melbourne City
26 10 38
7
Macarthur Macarthur
26 9 34
8
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
26 9 33
9
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
26 8 32
10
Perth Glory Perth Glory
26 8 31
11
Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar
26 6 26
12
Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers
26 5 21
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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