Qarabag
Full Time
CSKA Sofia
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Qarabag Win
3-Way Result
92%
confidence
The comparison metrics clearly favor Qarabag with a 100% advantage in goals and Poisson distribution, and a strong 88% H2H rating supports this pick. Season stats show Qarabag’s last‐5 form is 100% with 2 clean sheets, reinforcing their defensive solidity. Historical H2H results, with 0-1 wins, further confirm Qarabag’s edge. Despite a 50% form rating from both teams in some areas, multiple independent metrics strongly lean towards a home win. The evidence converges from both season and H2H data. Overall, the risk is minimal given the consistent performance indicators.
Best Value
Qarabag Win
3-Way Result
Qarabag Win in the 3-Way Result market is a high value play with converging evidence: a 100% scoring metric at home and an 88% H2H favorability, combined with recent 100% form. The season stats reaffirm this with 3.0 average goals and 2 clean sheets in just 2 matches played, suggesting a robust performance. This contrasts sharply with the bookmaker implied probability of approximately 58% (1/1.73). The resulting value edge exceeds 30%, making it a compelling option. The risk remains minimal given the consistency in both comparison and historical metrics. This selection meets the ≥80% probability and shows a clear value edge.
92%
prob.
1.73
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Qarabag Win
Qarabag 100% in goals metrics
92%
odds 1.73
Double Chance
Qarabag or Draw
Qarabag 100% defense and 88% H2H
95%
odds 1.22
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 8 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 |  FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 8 |  AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 |  Genk | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Bologna | 8 | 4 | 15 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 12 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 8 | 4 | 15 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 14 |  Plzen | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 17 |  PAOK | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 18 |  Lille | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 20 |  Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 21 |  Celtic | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 22 |  Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 23 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 24 |  Brann | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 25 |  BSC Young Boys | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 26 |  Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 27 |  FCSB | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 28 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 29 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 30 |  FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 31 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 32 |  Rangers | 8 | 1 | 4 |
| 33 |  Nice | 8 | 1 | 3 |
| 34 |  Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| 35 |  Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| 36 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Match Winner
Qarabag
1.45
Draw
4.33
CSKA Sofia
5.75
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1.80
Under 2.5
2.00
Both Teams Score
Yes
2.00
No
1.73
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