Football
Super League 1 Super League 1
· Regular Season - 8
AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC

vs

Not Started

Panetolikos

Panetolikos

🏟 Allwyn Arena, Athens
📋 Regular Season - 8
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Low Risk

AEK Athens FC shows a strong edge with a Poisson distribution of 100% in favor of home and an 80% H2H advantage, supported by a 67% home defensive metric. Season stats further highlight AEK's prolific scoring with 11 goals and an average of 2.8 per match, while Panetolikos lags behind. The convergence of these multiple metrics gives us an 85% confidence in a Home Win. However, minor risk remains due to occasional H2H upsets. This pick integrates layered evidence from comparison and season data. Overall, the evidence firmly suggests a Home Win with minimal conflicts.

Best Value

Over 2.5

Goals Over/Under

The Goals Over/Under market offers value with an Over 2.5 prediction fueled by AEK’s home scoring average of 2.8 and Panetolikos’s away average of 1.8. Comparison metrics show an 82% advantage for home goals and a 100% Poisson for AEK, suggesting high attacking potential. This option is backed by season data, including recent high-scoring matches in H2H encounters. With an 80% estimated probability and a value edge approximated at 30%, evidence convergence makes this a compelling value bet. Despite modest inherent risks, the evidence supports this optimal wager.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Poisson 100% and H2H 80% in favor of AEK

85%

odds 1.18

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Home attack 61% and overall form advantage

90%

odds 1.11

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
WDWWD
Panetolikos
Panetolikos
LDLLD

Current Standings

3
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
5 P 3 W 11 Pts
6
Panetolikos
Panetolikos
5 P 3 W 9 Pts

Head to Head

14 Dec 25
Panetolikos Panetolikos
0–5
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
A
2 Nov 25
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
1–0
Panetolikos Panetolikos
H
24 Sept 25
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
2–1
Panetolikos Panetolikos
H
25 Jan 25
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
1–0
Panetolikos Panetolikos
H
5 Oct 24
Panetolikos Panetolikos
1–0
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
5 5 15
2
PAOK PAOK
5 4 12
3
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
5 3 11
4
OFI OFI
5 3 10
5
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
5 3 10
6
Panetolikos Panetolikos
5 3 9
7
Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis
5 2 7
8
Iraklis 1908 Iraklis 1908
5 1 6
9
Kifisia Kifisia
5 1 5
10
Kalamata Kalamata
5 1 4
11
Atromitos Atromitos
5 0 2
12
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis
5 0 2
13
Volos NFC Volos NFC
5 0 2
14
Levadiakos Levadiakos
5 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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