Football
World Cup World Cup
· Final
Spain

Spain

1–0

Full Time

Argentina

Argentina

🏟 MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
🟡 Slavko Vinčić, Slovenia
📋 Final
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Low Risk

Spain shows a strong overall edge with an 80% advantage in head-to-head and a 86% goal influence on home side, reinforced by a 72% Poisson probability for scoring. Their season defensive record is compelling with a 0.1 average against and a 93% last-5 defense stat. These metrics strongly favor a Home Win in the 3-Way Result market, aligning with over 90% confidence across multiple data points. Although Argentina boasts a 93% attacking rating in their last 5 games, Spain’s defensive solidity and historical performance tip the balance. The evidence from comparison metrics and recent form converges, making this pick both statistically robust and low risk. Therefore, a Home Win is our best bet with a 90% estimated probability.

Best Value

Home or Draw

Double Chance

The Double Chance market offers value as Spain’s overall metrics, including a 69.2% total home influence and an 80% h2h advantage, point towards at least a non-loss scenario. Both comparison and season statistics indicate Spain’s high defensive resilience, reducing the risk of conceding and boosting the safety of a Home or Draw outcome. With an 85% probability and convergence among 35% of the comparison, 30% of h2h and 25% of season data, the evidence is sound. This bet stands out with a strong value edge of over 30%, balancing risk with opportunity. The statistical backing and low variance in outcomes justify choosing Home or Draw as the best optimal pick.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

80% h2h advantage and 86% home goal metric

90%

odds 1.11

Double Chance

Home or Draw

69.2% total home influence and 80% h2h advantage

85%

odds 1.18

+4 more predictions

HT/FT, corners, first scorer & more

Unlock in App →

Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Spain
Spain
WWDWD
Argentina
Argentina
WWWWW

Head to Head

19 Jul 26
Spain Spain
1–0
Argentina Argentina
H
27 Mar 26
Spain Spain
0–0
Argentina Argentina
D
27 Mar 18
Spain Spain
6–1
Argentina Argentina
H

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Mexico Mexico
3 3 9
2
South Africa South Africa
3 1 4
3
South Korea South Korea
3 1 3
4
Czechia Czechia
3 0 1
1
Switzerland Switzerland
3 2 7
2
Canada Canada
3 1 4
3
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 4
4
Qatar Qatar
3 0 1
1
Brazil Brazil
3 2 7
2
Morocco Morocco
3 2 7
3
Scotland Scotland
3 1 3
4
Haiti Haiti
3 0 0
1
USA USA
3 2 6
2
Australia Australia
3 1 4
3
Paraguay Paraguay
3 1 4
4
Türkiye Türkiye
3 1 3
1
Germany Germany
3 2 6
2
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast
3 2 6
3
Ecuador Ecuador
3 1 4
4
Curaçao Curaçao
3 0 1
1
Netherlands Netherlands
3 2 7
2
Japan Japan
3 1 5
3
Sweden Sweden
3 1 4
4
Tunisia Tunisia
3 0 0
1
Belgium Belgium
3 1 5
2
Egypt Egypt
3 1 5
3
Iran Iran
3 0 3
4
New Zealand New Zealand
3 0 1
1
Spain Spain
3 2 7
2
Cape Verde Islands Cape Verde Islands
3 0 3
3
Uruguay Uruguay
3 0 2
4
Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia
3 0 2
1
France France
3 3 9
2
Norway Norway
3 2 6
3
Senegal Senegal
3 1 3
4
Iraq Iraq
3 0 0
1
Argentina Argentina
3 3 9
2
Austria Austria
3 1 4
3
Algeria Algeria
3 1 4
4
Jordan Jordan
3 0 0
1
Colombia Colombia
3 2 7
2
Portugal Portugal
3 1 5
3
Congo DR Congo DR
3 1 4
4
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan
3 0 0
1
England England
3 2 7
2
Croatia Croatia
3 2 6
3
Ghana Ghana
3 1 4
4
Panama Panama
3 0 0
1
Congo DR Congo DR
3 1 4
2
Sweden Sweden
3 1 4
3
Ghana Ghana
3 1 4
4
Ecuador Ecuador
3 1 4
5
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 4
6
Algeria Algeria
3 1 4
7
Paraguay Paraguay
3 1 4
8
Senegal Senegal
3 1 3
9
Iran Iran
3 0 3
10
South Korea South Korea
3 1 3
11
Scotland Scotland
3 1 3
12
Uruguay Uruguay
3 0 2
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Spain

2.25

Draw

3.00

Argentina

3.60

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.30

Under 2.5

1.62

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.80

No

1.95

+106 more markets

Asian Handicap, Corners, Cards & more

See All Odds →
🏀 🎾 🏈

Get the Full Match Experience

Live commentary, deep stats, AI analysis, and fantasy tools — all free in the Edge Score app.

Free forever with optional Premium. No credit card required.