Beşiktaş
Not Started
Kocaelispor
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home Win
3-Way Result
90%
confidence
Besiktas shows strong evidence for a win with an 88% h2h advantage and an 80% Poisson home scoring rate. Their average goals of 3.5 at home add weight compared to Kocaelispor's 1.3 away average. The attacking metric is 64% for Besiktas vs 36% for Kocaelispor, reinforcing the likelihood of a home win. H2H results further support this with two wins in the last encounters. Although form percentages are equal at 50%, multiple independent metrics favor the home side. This pick is supported by solid season and head-to-head evidence, hence a conservative 90% confidence.
Best Value
Over 2.5
Goals Over/Under
The Over 2.5 Goals market offers value given Besiktas’ high scoring averages and Kocaelispor’s lower defensive solidity. Besiktas’s home goals average of 3.5 and a Poisson home goal rate of 80% contrast with Kocaelispor’s lower scoring record. The attacking metric shows a 64% advantage for the home side while the h2h shows an average of over 2 goals in decisive matches. The convergence of attacking and season scoring statistics presents a value edge. With these factors, the probability is conservatively set at 85%, representing a strong edge of approximately 30% or more. It is a calculated value wedge with the required minimum value edge.
85%
prob.
1.18
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
H2H: 88% home vs 13% away
90%
odds 1.11
Double Chance
Home or Draw
Att: 64% home vs 36% away
92%
odds 1.09
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
Kocaelispor Beşiktaş Kocaelispor Beşiktaş Beşiktaş Kocaelispor League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amed | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 |  Galatasaray | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Beşiktaş ● | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Kocaelispor ● | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 |  Alanyaspor | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Fenerbahçe | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 |  Trabzonspor | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Kasımpaşa | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Rizespor | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Gaziantep FK | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Çorum FK | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 |  Başakşehir | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Erzurumspor FK | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 15 |  Konyaspor | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 |  Samsunspor | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Göztepe | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 6 | 1 | 3 |
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