Football
World Cup World Cup
· Round of 16
Portugal

Portugal

0–1

Full Time

Spain

Spain

🏟 AT&T Stadium, Dallas
🟡 Anthony Taylor, England
📋 Round of 16
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Spain Win

3-Way Result

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.85 bookmaker Medium-High Risk

The 3-Way Result prediction for Spain Win is strongly supported by multiple metrics. Spain’s defensive metric is at 100% compared to Portugal’s 0%, and their Poisson value is also 100% away, indicating a clear advantage. Additionally, Spain’s recent league form of DWWW and last-5 form of 83% bolster this choice. Historical H2H shows Spain registering more wins (three wins vs Portugal’s one) despite mixed draws. Season performance trends further favor Spain, and caution is advised due to some variability in H2H scores. Overall, the convergence of a 100% defense metric with strong form justifies an 85% confidence.

Best Value

Spain Win

3-Way Result

The best optimal value stems from the same 3-Way Spain Win market which shows an impressive edge. With an 85% probability and bookmaker odds at 1.85, the implied probability is approximately 54%, yielding an edge above 30%. Comparison data like Spain’s 100% defensive and Poisson metrics along with superior league form underscore this selection. H2H evidence also tilts in favor of Spain, with three wins out of recent encounters. Although some variance exists in historical match outcomes, converging evidence supports this as a high value option. This pick meets the criteria with over 80% probability and a value rating of 3.

85%

prob.

1.85

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Spain Win

Spain's 100% defensive metric vs Portugal's 0%

85%

odds 1.85

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Spain's last 5 form at 83% and league form DWWW

95%

odds 1.22

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Portugal
Portugal
WWWDW
Spain
Spain
No data

Current Standings

1
Spain
Spain
3 P 2 W 7 Pts
2
Portugal
Portugal
3 P 1 W 5 Pts

Head to Head

6 Jul 26
Portugal Portugal
0–1
Spain Spain
A
8 Jun 25
Portugal Portugal
2–2
Spain Spain
H
27 Sept 22
Portugal Portugal
0–1
Spain Spain
A
2 Jun 22
Spain Spain
1–1
Portugal Portugal
D
4 Jun 21
Spain Spain
0–0
Portugal Portugal
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Mexico Mexico
3 3 9
2
South Africa South Africa
3 1 4
3
South Korea South Korea
3 1 3
4
Czechia Czechia
3 0 1
1
Switzerland Switzerland
3 2 7
2
Canada Canada
3 1 4
3
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 4
4
Qatar Qatar
3 0 1
1
Brazil Brazil
3 2 7
2
Morocco Morocco
3 2 7
3
Scotland Scotland
3 1 3
4
Haiti Haiti
3 0 0
1
USA USA
3 2 6
2
Australia Australia
3 1 4
3
Paraguay Paraguay
3 1 4
4
Türkiye Türkiye
3 1 3
1
Germany Germany
3 2 6
2
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast
3 2 6
3
Ecuador Ecuador
3 1 4
4
Curaçao Curaçao
3 0 1
1
Netherlands Netherlands
3 2 7
2
Japan Japan
3 1 5
3
Sweden Sweden
3 1 4
4
Tunisia Tunisia
3 0 0
1
Belgium Belgium
3 1 5
2
Egypt Egypt
3 1 5
3
Iran Iran
3 0 3
4
New Zealand New Zealand
3 0 1
1
Spain Spain
3 2 7
2
Cape Verde Islands Cape Verde Islands
3 0 3
3
Uruguay Uruguay
3 0 2
4
Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia
3 0 2
1
France France
3 3 9
2
Norway Norway
3 2 6
3
Senegal Senegal
3 1 3
4
Iraq Iraq
3 0 0
1
Argentina Argentina
3 3 9
2
Austria Austria
3 1 4
3
Algeria Algeria
3 1 4
4
Jordan Jordan
3 0 0
1
Colombia Colombia
3 2 7
2
Portugal Portugal
3 1 5
3
Congo DR Congo DR
3 1 4
4
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan
3 0 0
1
England England
3 2 7
2
Croatia Croatia
3 2 6
3
Ghana Ghana
3 1 4
4
Panama Panama
3 0 0
1
Congo DR Congo DR
3 1 4
2
Sweden Sweden
3 1 4
3
Ghana Ghana
3 1 4
4
Ecuador Ecuador
3 1 4
5
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 4
6
Algeria Algeria
3 1 4
7
Paraguay Paraguay
3 1 4
8
Senegal Senegal
3 1 3
9
Iran Iran
3 0 3
10
South Korea South Korea
3 1 3
11
Scotland Scotland
3 1 3
12
Uruguay Uruguay
3 0 2
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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