Rio Ave
Not Started
Nacional
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Under 2.5
Goals Over/Under
90%
confidence
The Goals Over/Under market shows strong evidence for a low-scoring encounter with both teams’ season stats indicating under 2.5 goals in all 5 matching home and away fixtures. Rio Ave’s under_over data shows under in 5/5 instances and the comparison metrics favor Nacional with a 100% Poisson for away. Additionally, recent H2H results include several low scoring draws such as a 1-1 and a 0-0, reinforcing minimal goals. This convergence makes Under 2.5 a highly likely outcome with robust supporting evidence.
Best Value
Away or Draw
Double Chance
The Double Chance market, favoring Away or Draw, offers strong value given Nacional’s superior attacking metric of 75% compared to Rio Ave’s 25% and a competitive H2H record with four draws out of ten matches. Both comparison metrics and historical data support an outcome where Nacional avoid a loss. The evidence is supported by the Poisson distribution (0% home vs 100% away) and additional season stats showing Nacional’s resilience. This convergence gives a high probability pick with an attractive value edge.
85%
prob.
1.18
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Away Win
Poisson distribution: home 0% vs away 100%
80%
odds 1.25
Double Chance
Away or Draw
Attacking metrics: home 25% vs away 75%
85%
odds 1.18
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 |  GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória SC | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional ● | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave ● | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 |
Get the Full Match Experience
Live commentary, deep stats, AI analysis, and fantasy tools — all free in the Edge Score app.
Free forever with optional Premium. No credit card required.