The seasonal under/over data is striking: both teams recorded 4 under outcomes for 2.5 goals and 0 overs, and the H2H scores (1-1, 2-2, 1-2, 1-0) indicate low scoring trends. This aligns with the season tendencies and under_over thresholds seen for both teams. With no instance of over from Alverca (0/4) and Rio Ave’s similar pattern, the evidence strongly supports a low-scoring match. Although some metrics show mixed signals, the convergence on low totals makes 'Under 2.5' highly likely. We assign a 90% probability and note that risk remains medium given slight H2H variability. This prediction is based on 4/4 under outcomes and Poisson figures favoring low scores. Overall, the consistency of season stats offers a robust signal.