Moreirense
Full Time
Benfica
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Away Win
3-Way Result
90%
confidence
The analysis strongly favors an away win as Benfica has dominated head-to-head with 93% in that metric and the goals comparison shows 79% favoring the away team. The H2H records (e.g. Benfica 4-1 and 3-0 wins) reinforce this outcome. Despite other metrics being neutral, the concentrated H2H evidence and goals split provide a strong basis for an away victory. Given the risk is relatively balanced, our confidence is very high with 90% probability.
Best Value
Benfica
Team to Score First
Our best optimal pick is Benfica to score first. We assign an 80% probability since multiple metrics, including H2H halftime trends and the overall away dominance (93% h2h and 79% goals for away), support this. The bookmaker odds for this market are assumed at 2.00, offering a calculated value edge of 30%. Such a divergence from fair odds clearly represents a favorable opportunity, though note the market risk remains moderate.
80%
prob.
0
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Away Win
H2H away metric at 93% and goals comparison at 79%
90%
odds 1.11
Double Chance
Away or Draw
Total comparison: away at 86% and H2H: 93% for away
95%
odds 1.05
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica ● | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 |  GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense ● | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória SC | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 |
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