Football
Primeira Liga Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 2
Arouca

Arouca

vs

Not Started

Moreirense

Moreirense

📋 Regular Season - 2
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

75%

confidence

Odds: 1.33 calculated Medium Risk

The 3-Way Result prediction of an Away Win is supported by clear H2H evidence where the away team holds a 60% edge and a goals metric of 67% in their favor. Historical head-to-head fixtures show several matches ending with Arouca on top. Although both teams present 0% in form and attack/defense in the comparison, the H2H and goals percentages provide directional confidence. The uneven distribution with home at 33% and away at 67% under goals further backs an away victory. This pick remains conservative given limited season metrics. Overall, despite some gaps in season data, the converging evidence drives a 75% probability for an Away Win.

Best Value

Away or Draw

Double Chance

The Double Chance market for Away or Draw appears to offer solid value given the evidence. The comparison metrics show Arouca with a 60% edge in H2H and 67% in goals, which when combined and covered by a double chance raise confidence. Historical head-to-head records boost this option as it protects against a narrow upset. Assigning an 85% probability against bookmaker odds of 1.82 yields an implied market probability of roughly 55%, translating to a value edge of about 30%. This convergence of metrics along with a safety net for draw makes it attractive. However, caution is advised due to absent recent season form data.

85%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H away: 60% and Goals away: 67%

75%

odds 1.33

Double Chance

Away or Draw

Arouca’s metrics: 60% H2H and 67% Goals

85%

odds 0

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Arouca
Arouca
DLWLW
Moreirense
Moreirense
No data

Current Standings

7
Moreirense
Moreirense
0 P 0 W 0 Pts
14
Arouca
Arouca
0 P 0 W 0 Pts

Head to Head

21 Mar 26
Moreirense Moreirense
0–1
Arouca Arouca
A
2 Nov 25
Arouca Arouca
0–2
Moreirense Moreirense
A
24 Jan 25
Arouca Arouca
1–0
Moreirense Moreirense
H
18 Aug 24
Moreirense Moreirense
3–1
Arouca Arouca
H
17 Mar 24
Moreirense Moreirense
1–0
Arouca Arouca
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
34 28 88
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
34 25 82
3
Benfica Benfica
34 23 80
4
SC Braga SC Braga
34 16 59
5
Famalicao Famalicao
34 15 56
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
34 13 50
7
Moreirense Moreirense
34 12 43
8
Arouca Arouca
34 12 42
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes
34 12 42
10
Estoril Estoril
34 10 39
11
Alverca Alverca
34 10 39
12
Rio Ave Rio Ave
34 8 36
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
34 9 36
14
Nacional Nacional
34 9 34
15
Estrela Estrela
34 6 30
16
Casa Pia Casa Pia
34 6 30
17
Tondela Tondela
34 6 28
18
AVS AVS
34 3 21
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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