Football
Bundesliga Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 6
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

vs

Not Started

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

🏟 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
📋 Regular Season - 6
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Medium-High Risk

The comparison metrics are heavily in favor of VfB Stuttgart with away form at 100% and Poisson distribution at 100%, while the home side shows 0% in both. Historical head-to-head stats lean 80% in favor of the away team and recent season data notes that Hamburg’s last 5 form is 0% with an average of 0.0 goals, whereas Stuttgart’s average is 2.0. Additionally, H2H evidence includes a dominant 4–0 win in one fixture and other clear results favoring Stuttgart. Although some H2H outcomes are mixed, the convergence of multiple metrics supports an away win. The risk remains moderate given the fluctuating H2H scores but the overwhelming attacking and defensive stats favor Stuttgart. Hence, an Away Win is our best bet with a conservative probability of 85%.

Best Value

Away Win or Draw

Double Chance

Double Chance: Away Win or Draw offers a wider safety net while still capitalizing on the overwhelming away statistics. The comparison total metric is at 71.3% for the away team and H2H shows an 80% advantage, reinforcing a strong probability. Season data reveals Hamburg’s consistent failure to create goal threats, with 0.0 average goals in their last 5 matches. This bet carries a probability of 90%, which gives it a high convergence of evidence with minimal risk. The value edge is significant, meeting the ≥30% edge criteria with a value rating of 5. Thus, this option is our best optimal pick.

90%

prob.

1.11

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

Away form 100% and h2h 80%

85%

odds 1.18

Double Chance

Away Win or Draw

Total metric 71.3% and h2h 80%

90%

odds 1.11

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
WDLWL
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
WLWDW

Head to Head

12 Apr 26
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
4–0
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
H
30 Nov 25
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
2–1
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
H
5 Jun 23
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
1–3
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
A
1 Jun 23
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
3–0
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
H
26 Aug 20
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
3–2
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
4 4 12
2
Bayern München Bayern München
4 3 10
3
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
4 3 10
4
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
4 2 7
5
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
4 2 7
6
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
4 2 7
7
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg
4 2 7
8
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
4 2 7
9
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
4 2 6
10
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
4 1 5
11
FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04
4 1 5
12
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
4 1 4
13
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
4 1 4
14
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 3
15
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
4 1 3
16
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
4 1 3
17
Union Berlin Union Berlin
4 0 1
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 0 0
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Hamburger SV

4.20

Draw

4.20

VfB Stuttgart

1.67

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.44

Under 2.5

2.75

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.44

No

2.62

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