Football
Bundesliga Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 5
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

vs

Not Started

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

🏟 Mewa Arena, Mainz
📋 Regular Season - 5
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium Risk

Analyzing the data, the H2H advantage shows an 85% favor for Bayer Leverkusen while the goals metric favors the away side at 59%, supporting an Away Win. The comparison metrics highlight a strong attacking edge for Leverkusen with a 55% attack and 59% goal percentage. Season stats add that Leverkusen scored 6 goals compared to Mainz’s 5. However, Mainz’s perfect 100% defense in recent games tempers the confidence slightly. Despite this defensive note, multiple metrics converge towards an Away Win. Overall, the evidence gives an estimated probability of 80% for an away victory.

Best Value

Draw or Away

Double Chance

The Double Chance market offers additional safety by covering both a Draw and an Away outcome. H2H data and overall distribution (total away percentage at 60.5%) support a strong probability that Mainz will not win. Combining the 85% H2H away advantage with the defensive robustness seen in Mainz’s season stats pushes the overall edge to about 90%. This market minimizes risk while capturing the value hidden in the odds. Convergence across comparison and season data indicates a solid opportunity. The estimated probability and value edge qualify this as the best optimal pick.

90%

prob.

1.11

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H shows 85% favoring away and 59% for goals.

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Away total percentage at 60.5% combined with 85% H2H advantage.

90%

odds 1.11

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
WWDWW
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
WWLWD

Current Standings

5
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
4 P 2 W 7 Pts
6
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
4 P 2 W 7 Pts

Head to Head

28 Feb 26
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
1–1
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
D
18 Oct 25
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
3–4
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
A
17 May 25
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
2–2
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
D
14 Jan 25
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
1–0
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
H
23 Feb 24
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
2–1
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
4 4 12
2
Bayern München Bayern München
4 3 10
3
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
4 3 10
4
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
4 2 7
5
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
4 2 7
6
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
4 2 7
7
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg
4 2 7
8
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
4 2 7
9
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
4 2 6
10
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
4 1 5
11
FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04
4 1 5
12
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
4 1 4
13
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
4 1 4
14
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 3
15
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
4 1 3
16
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
4 1 3
17
Union Berlin Union Berlin
4 0 1
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 0 0
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

FSV Mainz 05

2.60

Draw

3.70

Bayer Leverkusen

2.35

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.50

Under 2.5

2.62

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.40

No

2.75

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