The 3-Way Result market strongly favors an away win as Celta Vigo has been validated by multiple metrics: a Poisson distribution of 83% and an H2H advantage of 80%, while form shows 60% in favor of the away side. Historical head-to-head data reveals 6 wins for Celta in 10 encounters, reinforcing this outcome. Although Elche boasts a higher home attack value at 67% compared to Celta’s 33%, the convergence of metrics tilts the balance. Season stats further support this with Celta’s scoring edge in several meetings. Risks remain given some conflicting attacking data, but overall evidence is compelling. Therefore, we assign an 80% probability to a Celta Vigo win with cautious confidence.