Our best bet is Double Chance: Draw or Away Win, which integrates multiple metrics. Comparison data show Racing Santander’s attack at 78% and form at 57% favoring them, while provider overall probabilities lean 57.2% for an away outcome. Despite the h2h metric (100% for home) and Celta’s defensive 62%, the convergence of attack (78%) and Poisson (73% for away) with 25% weighting from season stats supports this option. We acknowledge the risk due to conflicting h2h evidence but the composite probability remains solid. This prediction is based on a 78% probability. It reflects an ultra‐conservative stance with high accuracy target.