Burgos
Full Time
AD Ceuta FC
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home Win
3-Way Result
85%
confidence
The 3-Way Result shows a strong advantage for Burgos with home form at 100% and attacking strength at 75% compared to only 25% for AD Ceuta FC. This prediction is supported by season stats where Burgos scores 3 goals in home matches (average 1.5) and concedes only 3 goals. Despite mixed H2H results where AD Ceuta FC had 80%, the overall metrics heavily favor the home side. The risk is moderate given the conflicting H2H data, but the convergence of form, attacking and defense percentages builds confidence. Given these factors, a Home Win is chosen with 85% probability. The confidence builds on multiple independent data points. The odds are derived as 100/85, yielding 1.18.
Best Value
Home or Draw
Double Chance
Double Chance offers value combining home strength and risk mitigation by covering a draw. Burgos shows superiority with an attacking rate of 75% and a defensive rate of 70%, while AD Ceuta FC lags with 25% and 30% respectively. Season stats echo this with Burgos scoring an average of 1.5 goals at home compared to Ceuta’s 0.5 away. Although H2H data tilts slightly away, the overall convergence of evidence gives this a 92% probability. The calculated odds (100/92) provide modest value and address downside risk. Risks remain due to conflicting H2H history but the predictive probability is high.
92%
prob.
1.09
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
Home form 100%
85%
odds 1.18
Double Chance
Home or Draw
Home att 75% vs away att 25%
92%
odds 1.09
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 6 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 |  Eibar | 6 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Mallorca | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 |  Almeria | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Burgos ● | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Sabadell | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Leganes | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Girona | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Sporting Gijon | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Tenerife | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Real Sociedad II | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Oviedo | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Granada CF | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 15 |  Celta de Vigo II | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 16 |  Cordoba | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 17 |  Eldense | 6 | 1 | 5 |
| 18 |  Valladolid | 6 | 1 | 5 |
| 19 |  Cadiz | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC ● | 6 | 0 | 1 |
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