Football
World Cup World Cup
· Round of 16
Brazil

Brazil

1–2

Full Time

Norway

Norway

🏟 MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
🟡 Ismail Elfath, USA
📋 Round of 16
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Low Risk

Brazil demonstrates a strong defensive record at 80% compared to Norway's 20%, and their last-5 form stands at 83% versus Norway's 75%. Their home fixtures show a 75% win rate, supporting a Home Win outcome. The Poisson distribution (41% for home) further reinforces this with minimal conflict from attacking metrics. This convergence of comparison and season stats drives confidence for a Home Win. The evidence, including a 55.3% home total advantage, makes this a compelling pick despite Norway's higher attacking percentage. Overall, the chance of a Home Win is confidently estimated at 80%.

Best Value

Home Win or Draw

Double Chance

The Double Chance market offers excellent value with Brazil's reinforced defense (80%) and strong home form, coupled with a team form differential (83% vs 75%). Brazil’s home winning record of 75% and overall fixture total of 55.3% compared to Norway's 44.8% support the likelihood of avoiding a loss. This pick converges evidence from comparison metrics and season stats, providing a robust call. With a probability of 85% and significant data support, the market shows a promising value edge. The risk remains minimal given the consistency in Brazil’s performance and defensive stability.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Brazil home win rate: 75%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Home Win or Draw

Brazil defense: 80% vs Norway defense: 20%

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Brazil
Brazil
WWWLD
Norway
Norway
WDWDL

Current Standings

1
Brazil
Brazil
3 P 2 W 7 Pts
2
Norway
Norway
3 P 2 W 6 Pts

Head to Head

5 Jul 26
Brazil Brazil
1–2
Norway Norway
A

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Mexico Mexico
3 3 9
2
South Africa South Africa
3 1 4
3
South Korea South Korea
3 1 3
4
Czechia Czechia
3 0 1
1
Switzerland Switzerland
3 2 7
2
Canada Canada
3 1 4
3
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 4
4
Qatar Qatar
3 0 1
1
Brazil Brazil
3 2 7
2
Morocco Morocco
3 2 7
3
Scotland Scotland
3 1 3
4
Haiti Haiti
3 0 0
1
USA USA
3 2 6
2
Australia Australia
3 1 4
3
Paraguay Paraguay
3 1 4
4
Türkiye Türkiye
3 1 3
1
Germany Germany
3 2 6
2
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast
3 2 6
3
Ecuador Ecuador
3 1 4
4
Curaçao Curaçao
3 0 1
1
Netherlands Netherlands
3 2 7
2
Japan Japan
3 1 5
3
Sweden Sweden
3 1 4
4
Tunisia Tunisia
3 0 0
1
Belgium Belgium
3 1 5
2
Egypt Egypt
3 1 5
3
Iran Iran
3 0 3
4
New Zealand New Zealand
3 0 1
1
Spain Spain
3 2 7
2
Cape Verde Islands Cape Verde Islands
3 0 3
3
Uruguay Uruguay
3 0 2
4
Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia
3 0 2
1
France France
3 3 9
2
Norway Norway
3 2 6
3
Senegal Senegal
3 1 3
4
Iraq Iraq
3 0 0
1
Argentina Argentina
3 3 9
2
Austria Austria
3 1 4
3
Algeria Algeria
3 1 4
4
Jordan Jordan
3 0 0
1
Colombia Colombia
3 2 7
2
Portugal Portugal
3 1 5
3
Congo DR Congo DR
3 1 4
4
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan
3 0 0
1
England England
3 2 7
2
Croatia Croatia
3 2 6
3
Ghana Ghana
3 1 4
4
Panama Panama
3 0 0
1
Congo DR Congo DR
3 1 4
2
Sweden Sweden
3 1 4
3
Ghana Ghana
3 1 4
4
Ecuador Ecuador
3 1 4
5
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 4
6
Algeria Algeria
3 1 4
7
Paraguay Paraguay
3 1 4
8
Senegal Senegal
3 1 3
9
Iran Iran
3 0 3
10
South Korea South Korea
3 1 3
11
Scotland Scotland
3 1 3
12
Uruguay Uruguay
3 0 2
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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