Football
World Cup World Cup
· Round of 16
Canada

Canada

0–3

Full Time

Morocco

Morocco

🏟 NRG Stadium, Houston
🟡 Michael Oliver, England
📋 Round of 16
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Over 2.5

Goals Over/Under

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Medium-High Risk

The best bet is the Goals Over 2.5 market, as Canada’s home scoring average of 3.5 and Morocco’s away output of 1.0 combine for an expected total near 4.5 goals. Season stats show Canada exceeded 0.5 goals in all 4 home fixtures and the combined match average supports a high scoring game. Despite some conflicting metrics in attacking and defensive ratings, the Poisson analysis and high Canadian average bolster this call. This market converges with the season evidence and H2H data where a 1-2 result indicates multiple goals. Given the evidence, the confidence level is high but not beyond caution. Hence we view the prediction as strong with a calculated probability of 90%.

Best Value

Morocco

Team to Score First

The best optimal market is Team to Score First with Morocco, as the H2H half-time score was 2-1 in favor of Morocco and recent matches show early goal production. Morocco’s team recorded 27.27% of their goals in the 106-120 minute window and the matchup stats favor an early breakthrough from the away side. This pick converges with multiple metrics, including a 67% away goals metric and a 100% H2H win result for away. Although there is some inherent risk, the value edge appears significant given the odds. It meets the criteria with an 80% probability and a clear value edge. The value rating assigned is 5.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H shows 100% away win and 67% in goals favoring Morocco

82%

odds 1.22

Double Chance

Away or Draw

H2H is 100% for away with form at 53% favoring Morocco

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Canada
Canada
No data
Morocco
Morocco
No data

Current Standings

2
Canada
Canada
3 P 1 W 4 Pts
2
Morocco
Morocco
3 P 2 W 7 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Mexico Mexico
3 3 9
2
South Africa South Africa
3 1 4
3
South Korea South Korea
3 1 3
4
Czechia Czechia
3 0 1
1
Switzerland Switzerland
3 2 7
2
Canada Canada
3 1 4
3
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 4
4
Qatar Qatar
3 0 1
1
Brazil Brazil
3 2 7
2
Morocco Morocco
3 2 7
3
Scotland Scotland
3 1 3
4
Haiti Haiti
3 0 0
1
USA USA
3 2 6
2
Australia Australia
3 1 4
3
Paraguay Paraguay
3 1 4
4
Türkiye Türkiye
3 1 3
1
Germany Germany
3 2 6
2
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast
3 2 6
3
Ecuador Ecuador
3 1 4
4
Curaçao Curaçao
3 0 1
1
Netherlands Netherlands
3 2 7
2
Japan Japan
3 1 5
3
Sweden Sweden
3 1 4
4
Tunisia Tunisia
3 0 0
1
Belgium Belgium
3 1 5
2
Egypt Egypt
3 1 5
3
Iran Iran
3 0 3
4
New Zealand New Zealand
3 0 1
1
Spain Spain
3 2 7
2
Cape Verde Islands Cape Verde Islands
3 0 3
3
Uruguay Uruguay
3 0 2
4
Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia
3 0 2
1
France France
3 3 9
2
Norway Norway
3 2 6
3
Senegal Senegal
3 1 3
4
Iraq Iraq
3 0 0
1
Argentina Argentina
3 3 9
2
Austria Austria
3 1 4
3
Algeria Algeria
3 1 4
4
Jordan Jordan
3 0 0
1
Colombia Colombia
3 2 7
2
Portugal Portugal
3 1 5
3
Congo DR Congo DR
3 1 4
4
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan
3 0 0
1
England England
3 2 7
2
Croatia Croatia
3 2 6
3
Ghana Ghana
3 1 4
4
Panama Panama
3 0 0
1
Congo DR Congo DR
3 1 4
2
Sweden Sweden
3 1 4
3
Ghana Ghana
3 1 4
4
Ecuador Ecuador
3 1 4
5
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 4
6
Algeria Algeria
3 1 4
7
Paraguay Paraguay
3 1 4
8
Senegal Senegal
3 1 3
9
Iran Iran
3 0 3
10
South Korea South Korea
3 1 3
11
Scotland Scotland
3 1 3
12
Uruguay Uruguay
3 0 2
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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