Football
World Cup World Cup
· Round of 32
Colombia

Colombia

1–0

Full Time

Ghana

Ghana

🏟 Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
🟡 C. Turpin
📋 Round of 32
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Colombia or Draw

Double Chance

92%

confidence

Odds: 1.1 bookmaker Low Risk

Double Chance appears safest as Colombia or a draw is supported by strong home metrics with 66.0% total home advantage and Colombia’s 64% form compared to Ghana’s 36%. The Poisson distribution also fully favors Colombia (100%) and the lack of H2H conflicts adds confidence. Season stats show Colombia averaging 1.3 goals versus Ghana's 0.7, reducing risk of an upset. This convergence across metrics gives high confidence in this market. Though bookmakers offer low odds of 1.10, the consistency in data warrants a conservative 92% probability.

Best Value

Colombia Win

3-Way Result

The 3-Way Result pick of a Colombia Win provides a strong value edge given Colombia’s superior form (64% vs 36%) and an impeccable 100% Poisson distribution support. With season stats showing Colombia’s consistent scoring (1.3 goals per match) and flawless defense in recent games, the evidence is convergent. Even though the bookmaker odds are 1.50, this translates to an implied chance of roughly 67%, offering an approximate 23% edge. Despite not reaching a 30% edge, among options it stands out with a 90% probability and a value rating of 4, making it the best available value pick.

90%

prob.

1.5

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Colombia Win

Colombia has 64% form and 100% Poisson support

90%

odds 1.5

Double Chance

Colombia or Draw

66.0% total advantage and Colombia’s 64% form

92%

odds 1.1

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Colombia
Colombia
WWLLW
Ghana
Ghana
LLLLL

Current Standings

1
Colombia
Colombia
3 P 2 W 7 Pts
3
Ghana
Ghana
3 P 1 W 4 Pts
3
Ghana
Ghana
3 P 1 W 4 Pts

Head to Head

4 Jul 26
Colombia Colombia
1–0
Ghana Ghana
H

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Mexico Mexico
3 3 9
2
South Africa South Africa
3 1 4
3
South Korea South Korea
3 1 3
4
Czechia Czechia
3 0 1
1
Switzerland Switzerland
3 2 7
2
Canada Canada
3 1 4
3
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 4
4
Qatar Qatar
3 0 1
1
Brazil Brazil
3 2 7
2
Morocco Morocco
3 2 7
3
Scotland Scotland
3 1 3
4
Haiti Haiti
3 0 0
1
USA USA
3 2 6
2
Australia Australia
3 1 4
3
Paraguay Paraguay
3 1 4
4
Türkiye Türkiye
3 1 3
1
Germany Germany
3 2 6
2
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast
3 2 6
3
Ecuador Ecuador
3 1 4
4
Curaçao Curaçao
3 0 1
1
Netherlands Netherlands
3 2 7
2
Japan Japan
3 1 5
3
Sweden Sweden
3 1 4
4
Tunisia Tunisia
3 0 0
1
Belgium Belgium
3 1 5
2
Egypt Egypt
3 1 5
3
Iran Iran
3 0 3
4
New Zealand New Zealand
3 0 1
1
Spain Spain
3 2 7
2
Cape Verde Islands Cape Verde Islands
3 0 3
3
Uruguay Uruguay
3 0 2
4
Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia
3 0 2
1
France France
3 3 9
2
Norway Norway
3 2 6
3
Senegal Senegal
3 1 3
4
Iraq Iraq
3 0 0
1
Argentina Argentina
3 3 9
2
Austria Austria
3 1 4
3
Algeria Algeria
3 1 4
4
Jordan Jordan
3 0 0
1
Colombia Colombia
3 2 7
2
Portugal Portugal
3 1 5
3
Congo DR Congo DR
3 1 4
4
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan
3 0 0
1
England England
3 2 7
2
Croatia Croatia
3 2 6
3
Ghana Ghana
3 1 4
4
Panama Panama
3 0 0
1
Congo DR Congo DR
3 1 4
2
Sweden Sweden
3 1 4
3
Ghana Ghana
3 1 4
4
Ecuador Ecuador
3 1 4
5
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 4
6
Algeria Algeria
3 1 4
7
Paraguay Paraguay
3 1 4
8
Senegal Senegal
3 1 3
9
Iran Iran
3 0 3
10
South Korea South Korea
3 1 3
11
Scotland Scotland
3 1 3
12
Uruguay Uruguay
3 0 2
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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