Football
World Cup World Cup
· Round of 32
England

England

2–1

Full Time

Congo DR

Congo DR

🏟 Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
🟡 Adham Mohammad, Jordan
📋 Round of 32
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

England Win

3-Way Result

93%

confidence

Odds: 1.27 bookmaker Low Risk

England show a marked edge with a 64% overall form compared to Congo DR's 36% and a Poisson distribution of 73% for England versus 27% for Congo DR. Their last-5 form stands at 78% for England while Congo DR is at 44%, and England’s season record of 6 total goals reinforces their attacking strength. These metrics, along with consistent defensive stats (England’s 87% defensive rate in the last 5), drive high confidence in an England win. Although the absence of direct H2H encounters introduces slight uncertainty, overall evidence overwhelmingly supports the choice.

Best Value

England Win

3-Way Result

The market for an England win presents a relative value edge when comparing our predicted probability of 93% with the bookmaker’s implied probability of about 78.7% from odds of 1.27. England’s superior metrics – with a 64% form advantage and a last-5 form of 78% versus Congo DR’s 44% – lend additional support. Despite the value edge being around 14%, it remains the best available option given the convergence of independent stats. The evidence is strong but market compression means the value is moderate.

93%

prob.

1.27

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

England Win

Form: 64% (England) vs 36% (Congo DR)

93%

odds 1.27

Double Chance

England or Draw

Total league form: 64.3% for England at home

95%

odds 1.05

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

England
England
No data
Congo DR
Congo DR
DWWLW

Current Standings

3
Congo DR
Congo DR
3 P 1 W 4 Pts
1
England
England
3 P 2 W 7 Pts
1
Congo DR
Congo DR
3 P 1 W 4 Pts

Head to Head

1 Jul 26
England England
2–1
Congo DR Congo DR
H

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Mexico Mexico
3 3 9
2
South Africa South Africa
3 1 4
3
South Korea South Korea
3 1 3
4
Czechia Czechia
3 0 1
1
Switzerland Switzerland
3 2 7
2
Canada Canada
3 1 4
3
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 4
4
Qatar Qatar
3 0 1
1
Brazil Brazil
3 2 7
2
Morocco Morocco
3 2 7
3
Scotland Scotland
3 1 3
4
Haiti Haiti
3 0 0
1
USA USA
3 2 6
2
Australia Australia
3 1 4
3
Paraguay Paraguay
3 1 4
4
Türkiye Türkiye
3 1 3
1
Germany Germany
3 2 6
2
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast
3 2 6
3
Ecuador Ecuador
3 1 4
4
Curaçao Curaçao
3 0 1
1
Netherlands Netherlands
3 2 7
2
Japan Japan
3 1 5
3
Sweden Sweden
3 1 4
4
Tunisia Tunisia
3 0 0
1
Belgium Belgium
3 1 5
2
Egypt Egypt
3 1 5
3
Iran Iran
3 0 3
4
New Zealand New Zealand
3 0 1
1
Spain Spain
3 2 7
2
Cape Verde Islands Cape Verde Islands
3 0 3
3
Uruguay Uruguay
3 0 2
4
Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia
3 0 2
1
France France
3 3 9
2
Norway Norway
3 2 6
3
Senegal Senegal
3 1 3
4
Iraq Iraq
3 0 0
1
Argentina Argentina
3 3 9
2
Austria Austria
3 1 4
3
Algeria Algeria
3 1 4
4
Jordan Jordan
3 0 0
1
Colombia Colombia
3 2 7
2
Portugal Portugal
3 1 5
3
Congo DR Congo DR
3 1 4
4
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan
3 0 0
1
England England
3 2 7
2
Croatia Croatia
3 2 6
3
Ghana Ghana
3 1 4
4
Panama Panama
3 0 0
1
Congo DR Congo DR
3 1 4
2
Sweden Sweden
3 1 4
3
Ghana Ghana
3 1 4
4
Ecuador Ecuador
3 1 4
5
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 4
6
Algeria Algeria
3 1 4
7
Paraguay Paraguay
3 1 4
8
Senegal Senegal
3 1 3
9
Iran Iran
3 0 3
10
South Korea South Korea
3 1 3
11
Scotland Scotland
3 1 3
12
Uruguay Uruguay
3 0 2
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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