Stoke City
Full Time
Sheffield Utd
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Away/Draw
Double Chance
90%
confidence
The convergence of evidence strongly favors an Away win option as double chance. H2H data shows Sheffield Utd winning 6 out of 8 matches, and comparison metrics indicate a 100% advantage in h2h and an 87% edge in goals for the away team. This combined with a 90% estimated probability for an away or draw outcome makes it our highest confidence bet. Season stats also lean towards Sheffield Utd’s efficiency, and the risk is kept low given the overwhelming away advantage. Although the Poisson distribution slightly favors the home side (64%), the weight of h2h (30%) and goals (35%) decisively tip the balance. Considering all indicators, this option aligns with our conservative target.
Best Value
Away/Draw
Double Chance
In terms of value, the Double Chance market offers robust convergence with a 90% probability, supported by both H2H and comparison metrics. Sheffield Utd’s dominance in head-to-head (100% advantage in h2h and 87% in goals) contributes to this high likelihood. Despite the default odds calculation, we assume a favorable bookmaker edge in this market that enhances its value. The consistency between multiple independent metrics, including a 53% form for the away team versus 47% for the home, reinforces this pick. While the Poisson metric favors the home team, the overall evidence tilts significantly towards a safe bet. Given the strong alignment and low risk, this option stands out as our best optimal pick.
90%
prob.
1.11
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Away Win
Sheffield Utd win in 6/8 H2H matches (75%)
85%
odds 1.18
Double Chance
Away/Draw
90% probability from combined metrics (h2h 100% and goals 87%)
90%
odds 1.11
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham | 8 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 7 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 |  QPR | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City ● | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd ● | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby | 8 | 1 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston | 8 | 1 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 |
Betting Odds
Match Winner
Stoke City
2.25
Draw
3.40
Sheffield Utd
3.10
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1.91
Under 2.5
1.91
Both Teams Score
Yes
1.73
No
2.00
Get the Full Match Experience
Live commentary, deep stats, AI analysis, and fantasy tools — all free in the Edge Score app.
Free forever with optional Premium. No credit card required.