Football
Bundesliga Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 5
TSV Hartberg

TSV Hartberg

3–2

Full Time

Ried

Ried

🏟 Profertil Arena Hartberg, Hartberg
🟡 Arnes Talic, Austria
📋 Regular Season - 5
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Medium-High Risk

The evidence strongly supports a low-scoring encounter with Under 2.5 goals. Season data shows TSV Hartberg averaging 0.0 goals and Ried averaging 1.0 goal, while historical H2H results have several 2-0 outcomes. Comparison metrics indicate a 91% advantage in goals for Hartberg, but recent form and attack for Ried are low-scoring overall. Multiple independent metrics (season stats and H2H low scores) converge to point toward a low goal total. This pick is selected with high confidence despite some conflicting form figures. Overall, the data supports Under 2.5 as the most reliable option.

Best Value

Home Win or Draw

Double Chance

The Double Chance market offers a favorable value edge given the convergence of historical H2H evidence and aggregate season data. TSV Hartberg has a 100% advantage in H2H and a 91% superiority in goals compared to only 29.5% total for the away side, while recent league data shows Ried on a draw in their only fixture. This convergence creates an edge despite the mixed form with Hartberg at 0% and Ried at 33%. The probability is solid at 80% and supports the cover of a Home Win or Draw outcome. This option is optimal from a value perspective with a notional edge rating.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

H2H advantage at 100% and goals comparison at 91%

75%

odds 1.33

Double Chance

Home Win or Draw

70.5% total comparison and 100% H2H for home

80%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg
LLLWL
Ried
Ried
LLDWL

Current Standings

5
Ried
Ried
7 P 2 W 8 Pts
6
TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg
7 P 2 W 8 Pts

Head to Head

30 Aug 26
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg
3–2
Ried Ried
H
22 Nov 25
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg
2–0
Ried Ried
H
14 Sept 25
Ried Ried
0–2
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg
A
27 May 23
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg
2–0
Ried Ried
H
8 Apr 23
Ried Ried
1–3
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
7 6 18
2
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
7 5 17
3
Lask Linz Lask Linz
7 5 16
4
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
7 3 11
5
Ried Ried
7 2 8
6
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg
7 2 8
7
WSG Wattens WSG Wattens
7 2 8
8
Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau
7 2 8
9
Grazer AK Grazer AK
7 2 8
10
Austria Vienna Austria Vienna
7 2 7
11
Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC
7 1 5
12
SCR Altach SCR Altach
7 1 3
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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