Football
NB I NB I
· Regular Season - 8
Ujpest

Ujpest

2–1

Full Time

Zalaegerszegi TE

Zalaegerszegi TE

🏟 Szusza Ferenc Stadion, Budapest
🟡 Mihaly Kapraly
📋 Regular Season - 8
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

75%

confidence

Odds: 1.33 calculated Medium Risk

The 3-Way Result pick for a Home Win is driven by Ujpest’s strong home metrics, with a form advantage of 70% and an attacking rate of 67% compared to TE’s 30% and 33%. Season data further supports this with Ujpest averaging 2.0 goals versus TE’s 1.0, despite H2H evidence showing a 71% away edge which adds some risk. The Poisson distribution is 100% in favor of the home team, reinforcing the likelihood of Ujpest scoring decisively. Historical season stats show Ujpest’s defense has conceded only 1.8 on average against TE’s weaker defensive record of 2.8 conceded per match. However, the mixed H2H results demand a cautious approach. Given these converging factors, we assign a conservative probability of 75% for a Home Win. This pick is considered Medium in risk due to the conflicting H2H trends.

Best Value

Home or Draw

Double Chance

The Double Chance market offers a solid value edge, favoring a Home/Draw outcome with converging evidence from season and recent form data. Ujpest’s last-5 attacking performance hit 100%, contrasted with TE’s 56% attack and a poor 20% recent form, underlining strong home advantage. The league stats further show Ujpest’s superior goal average of 2.0 compared to TE’s 1.0. Additionally, Ujpest’s overall season performance in converting opportunities is more consistent. This evidence provides a value edge estimated at or above 30%, justifying a high probability pick. We assign a probability of 82% for the Double Chance outcome. While H2H records show an away preference, the overall convergence of season and comparison data makes this option optimally valuable. The derived odds of 1.22 reflect this value opportunity, with a value rating of 5.

82%

prob.

1.22

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Home form is 70% vs away 30%.

75%

odds 1.33

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Ujpest last-5 attack is 100% vs TE last-5 form of 20%.

82%

odds 1.22

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Ujpest
Ujpest
DWWLW
Zalaegerszegi TE
Zalaegerszegi TE
LLWLW

Current Standings

4
Ujpest
Ujpest
8 P 4 W 14 Pts
12
Zalaegerszegi TE
Zalaegerszegi TE
8 P 2 W 6 Pts

Head to Head

20 Sept 26
Ujpest Ujpest
2–1
Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE
H
21 Mar 26
Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE
2–0
Ujpest Ujpest
H
7 Dec 25
Ujpest Ujpest
0–2
Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE
A
23 Aug 25
Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE
1–4
Ujpest Ujpest
A
11 May 25
Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE
0–0
Ujpest Ujpest
D

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Betting Odds

Match Winner

Ujpest

1.80

Draw

3.75

Zalaegerszegi TE

3.90

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.57

Under 2.5

2.35

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.57

No

2.25

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