Football
Premier League Premier League
· Regular Season - 4
Leeds

Leeds

4–1

Full Time

Newcastle

Newcastle

🏟 Elland Road, Leeds
🟡 Michael Salisbury, England
📋 Regular Season - 4
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away or Draw

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Medium Risk

Double Chance: Away or Draw is supported by strong comparison metrics with Newcastle's attacking percentage at 67% and a favorable H2H of 75% for away. Additionally, Newcastle’s Poisson distribution at 100% and Leeds' weaker attacking rate of 33% justify covering the draw. This bet reduces risk while converging multiple evidences and gives us an 85% confidence. Although recent form is equal (50%), season stats and H2H trends strengthen this outcome.

Best Value

Newcastle

Team to Score First

Team to Score First by Newcastle is driven by their high away attacking strength at 67% and an emphatic 100% Poisson distribution. The H2H metric showing 75% in favor of Newcastle further supports this outcome. With an 80% probability, the evidence from comparison and season scoring averages (Newcastle’s 2.0 vs Leeds’ 1.0) converges clearly. The value edge is significant here, making it a solid value pick.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H away advantage at 75%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Away or Draw

Att home 33% vs. away 67%

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Leeds
Leeds
WWWLW
Newcastle
Newcastle
WDLLL

Current Standings

5
Leeds
Leeds
5 P 2 W 9 Pts
9
Newcastle
Newcastle
5 P 2 W 8 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Manchester City Manchester City
5 5 15
2
Arsenal Arsenal
5 4 12
3
Brighton Brighton
5 3 10
4
Brentford Brentford
5 2 9
5
Leeds Leeds
5 2 9
6
Liverpool Liverpool
5 2 9
7
Everton Everton
5 2 9
8
Hull City Hull City
5 2 8
9
Newcastle Newcastle
5 2 8
10
Chelsea Chelsea
5 2 7
11
Ipswich Ipswich
5 2 6
12
Manchester United Manchester United
5 1 5
13
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
5 1 5
14
Sunderland Sunderland
5 1 4
15
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
5 1 4
16
Aston Villa Aston Villa
5 1 4
17
Bournemouth Bournemouth
5 0 3
18
Coventry Coventry
5 1 3
19
Fulham Fulham
5 0 2
20
Tottenham Tottenham
5 0 2
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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