Football
Championship Championship
· Regular Season - 8
Inverness CT

Inverness CT

vs

Not Started

Morton

Morton

🏟 Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness
📋 Regular Season - 8
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Medium Risk

The data strongly favors Inverness CT with a 100% home form and a 71% advantage in head-to-head metrics. The Poisson distribution also supports a 100% likelihood for the home team, while the away team shows 0% in key areas. Historical H2H results further back a home win with several clear margins. Season stats reveal that Inverness CT maintains a solid defense with an 83% defensive performance compared to Morton's 17%. This convergence of multiple independent metrics justifies a conservative 90% probability for a Home Win. The risk remains moderate given some variability in team league forms.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

Among the bets, the Goals Over/Under market presents a good value edge. Season statistics show a low scoring trend with Inverness CT averaging only 0.5 goals at home and Morton scoring rarely on the road, with under thresholds prevailing (e.g. 0.3 average for both teams). Comparison metrics also indicate a defensive advantage with 83% for the home team. Despite the inherent risk in low-scoring games, the bookmaker odds of 1.80 imply a significant value edge when matched with an 80% probability. This evidence converges well to justify selecting Under 2.5 goals as the best optimal pick. The numerical edge and risk alignment support a high value rating.

80%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Home form 100% and h2h 71%

90%

odds 1.11

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Home form 100% vs away form 0%

93%

odds 1.08

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Inverness CT
Inverness CT
LDDWW
Morton
Morton
LLLLL

Head to Head

25 Jul 26
Morton Morton
0–1
Inverness CT Inverness CT
A
3 May 24
Inverness CT Inverness CT
3–1
Morton Morton
H
2 Mar 24
Morton Morton
0–2
Inverness CT Inverness CT
A
30 Dec 23
Inverness CT Inverness CT
0–0
Morton Morton
D
12 Dec 23
Morton Morton
2–1
Inverness CT Inverness CT
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
7 6 19
2
Raith Rovers Raith Rovers
7 4 14
3
Partick Partick
7 3 12
4
Dunfermline Dunfermline
7 3 12
5
Livingston Livingston
7 3 10
6
Ayr Utd Ayr Utd
7 2 8
7
Arbroath Arbroath
7 2 8
8
Inverness CT Inverness CT
7 1 7
9
Queen's Park Queen's Park
7 1 4
10
Morton Morton
7 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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