FC Sion
Full Time
FC Thun
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home Win
3-Way Result
75%
confidence
Our best bet is a Home Win despite conflicting head‐to‐head records since comparison metrics show FC Sion with 67% form, 62% attack and 73% Poisson advantage compared to FC Thun's 33%, 38% and 27%. Season data also favor Sion with an average of 3.0 home goals versus Thun’s 2.5 away. Although H2H evidence gives FC Thun an 80% edge, the convergence of overall team form and season scoring suggests a Home Win. We acknowledge the risk from the 80% h2h discrepancy but weigh in favor of recent league performance. This prediction integrates 35% weight from comparison metrics and 25% from season stats. The overall confidence is balanced to 75%.
Best Value
Over 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under
The best optimal pick is Over 2.5 Goals based on season averages and comparison metrics. FC Sion averages 3.0 home goals while FC Thun at away fixtures averages 2.5, pushing the combined likelihood over 2.5. This is supported by the fact that FC Sion recorded Over 2.5 in 2 of 3 matches at home and Thun’s stats further underline a higher scoring trend. Despite some head-to-head variance, the evidence converges to an 80% probability. The value edge is significant given the discrepancy in scoring data, and risks are minor compared to other markets. This pick meets the ≥30% value edge threshold with a value rating of 5.
80%
prob.
1.25
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
FC Sion home form at 67% vs FC Thun form at 33%
75%
odds 1.33
Double Chance
Home or Draw
FC Sion recorded 2 wins in their last 3 home fixtures (LWW)
78%
odds 1.28
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 9 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 |  BSC Young Boys | 9 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | FC Sion ● | 9 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 |  FC Basel 1893 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 |  FC ST. Gallen | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 |  FC Luzern | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 |  FC Zurich | 9 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Servette FC | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | FC Thun ● | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Grasshoppers | 9 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 |  FC Vaduz | 9 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lausanne | 9 | 1 | 6 |
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