Football
Super League Super League
· Regular Season - 4
FC Lugano

FC Lugano

vs

Not Started

FC ST. Gallen

FC ST. Gallen

🏟 AIL Arena, Lugano
📋 Regular Season - 4
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Medium Risk

The 3-Way Result prediction for an Away Win is supported by strong H2H evidence where FC ST. Gallen has an 85% advantage over FC Lugano, and the goals metric further favors them with a 67% share. Recent head-to-head matches show ST. Gallen winning the majority, including a 3-1 and 2-1 victory. Although other comparison metrics are at 0%, the clear h2h dominance lends confidence. This choice carries some risk due to lack of recent form data for league matches but is the highest confidence overall. The probability for this prediction is 85%, indicating strong alignment of evidence.

Best Value

FC ST. Gallen

Team to Score First

The Best Optimal pick is based on the value in the Team to Score First market. While our fallback probability was originally around 70%, we adjust it to 80% given bookmaker odds that are assumed to be significantly higher than fair value. Evidence from multiple H2H matches supports FC ST. Gallen initiating scoring, and the overall comparison h2h figure stands at 85% in their favor. With a bookmaker line of 2.50 compared to a fair value of around 1.43, this suggests a strong value edge near 75%. Although risk remains due to limited season stats, the convergence of H2H evidence justifies this selection.

80%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H advantage at 85% for away

85%

odds 1.18

Double Chance

Away/Draw

Away h2h at 85% and goals at 67%

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
No data
FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen
WDWWL

Current Standings

2
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
0 P 0 W 0 Pts
10
FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen
0 P 0 W 0 Pts

Head to Head

10 May 26
FC Lugano FC Lugano
1–2
FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen
A
17 Mar 26
FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen
1–1
FC Lugano FC Lugano
D
26 Nov 25
FC Lugano FC Lugano
1–3
FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen
A
13 Sept 25
FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen
1–0
FC Lugano FC Lugano
H
13 Apr 25
FC Lugano FC Lugano
1–1
FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
FC Thun FC Thun
33 24 74
2
FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen
33 17 60
3
FC Lugano FC Lugano
33 16 57
4
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893
33 15 53
5
FC Sion FC Sion
33 13 52
6
BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys
33 13 48
7
FC Luzern FC Luzern
33 10 40
8
Servette FC Servette FC
33 9 40
9
Lausanne Lausanne
33 10 39
10
FC Zurich FC Zurich
33 10 34
11
Grasshoppers Grasshoppers
33 6 27
12
FC Winterthur FC Winterthur
33 4 19
1
FC Thun FC Thun
38 24 75
2
FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen
38 20 70
3
FC Lugano FC Lugano
38 19 67
4
FC Sion FC Sion
38 16 63
5
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893
38 16 56
6
BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys
38 15 55
1
FC Luzern FC Luzern
38 14 53
2
Servette FC Servette FC
38 13 53
3
Lausanne Lausanne
38 11 42
4
FC Zurich FC Zurich
38 11 38
5
Grasshoppers Grasshoppers
38 8 33
6
FC Winterthur FC Winterthur
38 5 23
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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