Lech Poznan
Not Started
Korona Kielce
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home Win
3-Way Result
80%
confidence
Lech Poznan’s strong statistical edge is evident with a 70% advantage in the Poisson distribution and a 71% H2H superiority, complemented by an 80% home form in their last 5 games. These factors, along with a robust league form ('DWWWWWL'), bolster the confidence in a Home Win. The consistency in their attacking and defensive metrics minimizes risk. Although no odds from bookmakers are available, the fallback odds calculated from our probability (80%) yield 1.25. This prediction reflects a convergence of comparison and H2H data with season insights. Overall, the evidence supports a Home Win with 80% probability.
Best Value
Home Win or Draw
Double Chance
The Double Chance market shows a compelling value with multiple metrics converging, including a home advantage in Poisson (70%) and H2H (71%) alongside an 80% last-5 form. This increases confidence that Lech Poznan will at least avoid a loss. We estimate a 90% probability for Home Win or Draw, which is supported by these robust stats. Although the fallback odds (1.11) suggest limited margin, the aggregation of evidence creates a theoretical value edge of 30%. The convergence between comparison metrics and recent performance underpins this call, marking it as our best optimal value pick.
90%
prob.
1.11
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
Poisson Distribution 70% & H2H 71%
80%
odds 1.25
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
Last-5 home form 80% & overall home form 52%
90%
odds 1.11
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gornik Zabrze | 9 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 |  Legia Warszawa | 9 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan ● | 8 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Wisla Krakow | 9 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 |  Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Korona Kielce ● | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 |  Zaglebie Lubin | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 |  GKS Katowice | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 10 |  Jagiellonia | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 11 |  Wisla Plock | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 12 |  Widzew Łódź | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 |  Cracovia Krakow | 9 | 2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 8 |
| 15 |  Slask Wroclaw | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 16 |  Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 17 |  Wieczysta Kraków | 8 | 1 | 5 |
| 18 |  Raków Częstochowa | 9 | 1 | 3 |
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