Football
Ligue 1 Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 5
Monaco

Monaco

2–1

Full Time

Lens

Lens

🏟 Stade Louis II, Monaco
🟡 Clement Turpin
📋 Regular Season - 5
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium-High Risk

Analyzing the comparison metrics, Monaco shows a 67% form record and a perfect 100% defensive rating, with a 100% poisson distribution supporting their strength. In recent head-to-head encounters, results have been mixed but lean on defensive solidity for Monaco. Season stats indicate Monaco’s strong home clean sheets and no failures to score, adding confidence to a Home Win. The evidence from multiple independent metrics including a 100% defensive performance and a 67% form metric confirms this choice. However, the h2h data shows moderate balance, so we keep the risk in check. Overall, the convergence of season and comparison data suggests a Home Win with a solid probability.

Best Value

Home or Draw

Double Chance

The Double Chance market offers value given Monaco’s strong 67% form and 100% defensive performance, along with their last 5 home stats showing clean sheets. H2H evidence indicates that Monaco have managed to secure points in several encounters at home. Season statistics further support this with Monaco recording 2 clean sheets and a perfect record in not failing to score. With an estimated probability of 92%, this pick outperforms implied odds. The value edge is significant as the bookmaker odds of 2.0 imply only a 50% likelihood compared to our 92% estimate. This convergence of evidence from comparison metrics, season form and head-to-head data generates strong value despite inherent risks.

92%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Monaco defensive metric at 100%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Monaco form 67% and 100% defense

92%

odds 0

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Monaco
Monaco
No data
Lens
Lens
WWLWL

Current Standings

1
Monaco
Monaco
5 P 4 W 13 Pts
15
Lens
Lens
5 P 1 W 4 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Monaco Monaco
5 4 13
2
Lyon Lyon
5 3 11
3
Paris FC Paris FC
5 3 11
4
Lille Lille
5 3 10
5
Rennes Rennes
5 3 10
6
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
5 2 8
7
Angers Angers
5 2 7
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
5 2 7
9
Le Mans Le Mans
5 1 6
10
Auxerre Auxerre
5 2 6
11
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
5 1 5
12
Lorient Lorient
5 1 5
13
Toulouse Toulouse
5 1 5
14
Nice Nice
5 1 5
15
Lens Lens
5 1 4
16
Estac Troyes Estac Troyes
5 1 4
17
Marseille Marseille
5 1 3
18
Le Havre Le Havre
5 0 2
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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