Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Full Time
Cherno More Varna
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home/Draw
Double Chance
80%
confidence
The double chance (Home/Draw) stands out with convergence from home form at 75% and a strong Poisson distribution at 80%, offering safety despite mixed H2H signals (home 38% vs away 62%). This option protects against an upset while covering home win given Lokomotiv’s defensive strength with a 72% last-5 defense. Although attack figures lean away at 60%, the defensive solidity and overall metrics make Home/Draw a secure pick. This conservative choice aligns with 80% probability, slightly above the threshold for our best bet with minimal conflict among data points.
Best Value
Under 2.5
Goals Over/Under
The Under 2.5 Goals market reveals significant value with both teams showing a consistent record, as evidenced by Lokomotiv’s home under_over for 2.5 with 0 overs in 4 matches and Cherno More’s similar record away. The season data reveals that both teams have maintained an under result in 100% of the applicable fixtures, boosting confidence to 90%. This high degree of convergence, combined with defensive performance (Lokomotiv against average 1.3 and Cherno More 2.0) underscores a low scoring match. With a value edge rating clearly meeting the criteria, this pick presents a strong value opportunity.
90%
prob.
1.11
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
Home form 75% vs away form 25%
70%
odds 1.43
Double Chance
Home/Draw
Home Poisson 80% and 75% form
80%
odds 1.25
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Head to Head
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv Cherno More Varna Lokomotiv Plovdiv Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna Lokomotiv Plovdiv +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 |  CSKA Sofia | 10 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 |  Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 |  CSKA 1948 | 10 | 7 | 22 |
| 5 |  Arda Kardzhali | 10 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Botev Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 |  Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 |  Spartak Varna | 10 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Botev Vratsa | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 |  Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Lokomotiv Sofia | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv ● | 10 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 | Cherno More Varna ● | 10 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 5 |
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