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J1 League

· 7th place

Kawasaki Frontale

0–1

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

🏟 Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium, Kawasaki

🟡 H. Kasahara

📋 7th place

📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win

3-Way Result

85%

confidence

Odds: 2.05 bookmaker Medium Risk

The convergence of metrics strongly supports a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win; comparison data shows a 62% h2h advantage and an 80% last-5 form for Hiroshima while Frontale lags with 60% form. Additionally, Kawasaki’s lower attacking (37% vs 63%) reinforces the likelihood of an away victory. Historical H2H results further back this with a pattern favoring the away side. Season stats note Hiroshima’s higher average of 2.4 goals in their last 5 games. Despite some scoring variability, the consistency across 35% comparison and 30% H2H weights builds high confidence. The probability is conservatively estimated at 85%, and the bookmaker odds are exactly 2.05.

Best Value

★★★★★

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win

3-Way Result

Selecting the Sanfrecce Hiroshima win not only aligns with 62% h2h and 80% last-5 form but also provides significant value with bookmaker odds of 2.05. The combined statistical weight from the comparison metrics (58% Poisson, 63% attack for away) and H2H trends yield a strong predictive edge. With an implied probability of around 48.8% from the odds, the estimated 85% chance produces a value edge exceeding 30%. The evidence from season stats and recent performance converges clearly in favor of Hiroshima. This option meets the >80% probability requirement and demonstrates a 36% edge. Hence, it qualifies as the best optimal pick.

85%

prob.

2.05

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win

H2H advantage: 62% for away and last 5 form 80% for Hiroshima

85%

odds 2.05

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Away win double chance covers 62% H2H and 80% form

90%

odds 1.33

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Kawasaki Frontale

LWLLW

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

WWWLL

Current Standings

Kawasaki Frontale

18 P 10 W 28 Pts

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

18 P 10 W 30 Pts

Head to Head

6 Jun 26

Kawasaki Frontale

0–1

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

30 May 26

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2–1

Kawasaki Frontale

30 Nov 25

Kawasaki Frontale

1–2

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

31 May 25

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

1–2

Kawasaki Frontale

29 Jun 24

Kawasaki Frontale

1–1

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

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League Standings

#	Team	P	W	Pts	Form
1	Kashima	18	15	45	<nil>
2	FC Tokyo	18	13	37	<nil>
3	Machida Zelvia	18	13	37	<nil>
4	Kawasaki Frontale ●	18	10	28	<nil>
5	Tokyo Verdy	18	10	28	<nil>
6	Urawa	18	7	25	<nil>
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	18	6	20	<nil>
8	Kashiwa Reysol	18	7	20	<nil>
9	Mito Hollyhock	18	6	18	<nil>
10	JEF United Chiba	18	3	12	<nil>
1	Vissel Kobe	18	11	35	<nil>
2	Cerezo Osaka	18	11	31	<nil>
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	10	31	<nil>
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima ●	18	10	30	<nil>
5	Gamba Osaka	18	10	28	<nil>
6	Fagiano Okayama	18	8	26	<nil>
7	Shimizu S-pulse	18	8	24	<nil>
8	Kyoto Sanga	18	8	23	<nil>
9	V-varen Nagasaki	18	7	21	<nil>
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	7	21	<nil>