Yokohama F. Marinos
Not Started
Shimizu S-pulse
๐ค AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home Win
3-Way Result
75%
confidence
The data suggests a lean towards a Home Win as the H2H metric favors Yokohama F. Marinos at 71% and their goal scoring advantage stands at 63%, despite Shimizu S-pulseโs better recent form at 75%. The home teamโs season aggregate also supports a stronger scoring potential. However, conflicting signals from Poisson (43% home vs 57% away) require caution. Overall, the convergence of H2H and goal metrics raises our confidence moderately. This recommendation is conservative given the mixed signals from other attack and form stats. We assign a probability of 75% to a home win.
Best Value
Home/Draw
Double Chance
Considering the aggregated evidence, the Double Chance market shows good value. Combining a 75% implied home win probability with added security from a potential draw pushes the overall likelihood to around 80%. The comparison metrics and H2H results, notably the home advantage (71% in H2H) and season goal stats, support this outcome. This option offers a clear edge while mitigating risk from conflicting form trends. The convergence of multiple independent metrics provides robust support for this pick. With a solid probability and a high value edge, this option is rated with optimal value.
80%
prob.
1.25
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
H2H home advantage at 71% and goal metric at 63%
75%
odds 1.33
Double Chance
Home/Draw
Combined H2H (71%) and season goal stats support Home/Draw
80%
odds 1.25
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima | 38 | 23 | 76 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 38 | 21 | 75 |
| 3 | Kyoto Sanga | 38 | 19 | 68 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 38 | 20 | 68 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 38 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Machida Zelvia | 38 | 17 | 60 |
| 7 | Urawa | 38 | 16 | 59 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 38 | 15 | 57 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 38 | 17 | 57 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | 14 | 52 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 38 | 13 | 50 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 12 | 48 |
| 13 | Fagiano Okayama | 38 | 12 | 45 |
| 14 | Shimizu S-pulse โ | 38 | 11 | 44 |
| 15 | Yokohama F. Marinos โ | 38 | 12 | 43 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 38 | 9 | 35 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 38 | 8 | 32 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 38 | 4 | 24 |
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