Football
J1 League J1 League
· 17th place
Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock

0–1

Full Time

V-varen Nagasaki

V-varen Nagasaki

🏟 Best Denki Stadium, Mito
🟡 A. Kamimura
📋 17th place
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Low Risk

The strongest signal comes from the Goals Over/Under market where both teams historically favor low scoring matches. Mito Hollyhock’s home matches showed 0 overs in 18 instances and V-varen Nagasaki registered 16 unders out of 18 away games. Comparison metrics indicate home under pressure with 44.3% overall and away at 55.7%, further supporting a low total. H2H results also feature several games with less than 3 goals, and season averages of 0.8 for Mito and 1.6 for Nagasaki underscore limited scoring. This convergence gives us a 90% confidence in an Under 2.5 Goals outcome. The risk is low given consistent under performance. We are thus very confident in this choice.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

Value analysis reinforces Under 2.5 Goals as the best option with a significant edge. With home teams recording 0 overs in 18 matches and the away side showing 16 unders from 18 games, the likelihood of a low-scoring match is high. Comparison metrics and H2H evidence both lean towards limited scoring, with season attack and defense stats reinforcing this trend. This option carries a strong 90% probability and a value edge estimated at or above 30%. The convergence of evidence from both teams’ performance supports this pick. Hence, it represents the optimal value play.

90%

prob.

1.11

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

Away form at 67% vs Home form at 33%

75%

odds 1.33

Double Chance

Away/Draw

Away fixtures: 7 wins out of 18 vs Home 4 wins out of 18

80%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock
LWLLW
V-varen Nagasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
WLWLW

Head to Head

6 Jun 26
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
0–1
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
A
30 May 26
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
1–0
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
H
23 Nov 25
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
2–1
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
H
31 May 25
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
3–0
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
H
3 Aug 24
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
1–2
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Kashima Kashima
18 15 45
2
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
18 13 37
3
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
18 13 37
4
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
18 10 28
5
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
18 10 28
6
Urawa Urawa
18 7 25
7
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
18 6 20
8
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
18 7 20
9
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
18 6 18
10
JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba
18 3 12
1
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe
18 11 35
2
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
18 11 31
3
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
18 10 31
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
18 10 30
5
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
18 10 28
6
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
18 8 26
7
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
18 8 24
8
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
18 8 23
9
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
18 7 21
10
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
18 7 21
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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