Shimizu S-pulse
Not Started
Yokohama F. Marinos
๐ค AI Predictions
Best Bet
Away Win
3-Way Result
80%
confidence
The overall match data indicates a clear away advantage, with H2H records showing a 71% win rate for Yokohama F. Marinos and the Poisson distribution favoring away at 56% compared to 44% for home. Additionally, the comparison metrics highlight an imbalance with goals at 61% for away versus 39% for home. Although Shimizu S-pulse had a 60% recent form in their last 5 games, the weight of 35% from comparison and 30% from H2H strongly supports an away win. Season stats also show the away team averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to 1.3 for home. The convergence of these independent metrics leads to an 80% probability for an away win. Nonetheless, the slight conflict with recent form adds a moderate risk.
Best Value
Away or Draw
Double Chance
Among the markets, the Double Chance option covering 'Away or Draw' offers excellent value. The H2H data (71% favoring away) combined with the away goals metric at 61% supports a high probability that Shimizu wonโt secure a win at home. Despite Shimizuโs decent 60% form in their last 5, the overall evidence leans heavily towards the away side given the comparison metrics and season goal averages. This convergence of evidence suggests a 90% probability, and the double chance market mitigates risk by covering both away wins and draws. This provides a value edge estimated at or above 30%.
90%
prob.
0
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Away Win
H2H away win of 71% vs home 29%
80%
odds 0
Double Chance
Away or Draw
Away goals metric at 61% and H2H advantage of 71%
90%
odds 0
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima | 38 | 23 | 76 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 38 | 21 | 75 |
| 3 | Kyoto Sanga | 38 | 19 | 68 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 38 | 20 | 68 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 38 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Machida Zelvia | 38 | 17 | 60 |
| 7 | Urawa | 38 | 16 | 59 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 38 | 15 | 57 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 38 | 17 | 57 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | 14 | 52 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 38 | 13 | 50 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 12 | 48 |
| 13 | Fagiano Okayama | 38 | 12 | 45 |
| 14 | Shimizu S-pulse โ | 38 | 11 | 44 |
| 15 | Yokohama F. Marinos โ | 38 | 12 | 43 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 38 | 9 | 35 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 38 | 8 | 32 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 38 | 4 | 24 |
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