Ajax
Full Time
Groningen
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Ajax Win
3-Way Result
85%
confidence
Our analysis converges on Ajax winning the match as they have a higher home form of 53% compared to Groningen's 47% and a strong H2H advantage of 71% (vs 29%). Season data reveals Ajax’s better defensive record with 67% compared to Groningen’s 33% and more clean sheets at home. In addition, Ajax’s scoring is bolstered by an average of 1.9 goals at home. Multiple independent metrics support an Ajax victory. Although some H2H encounters were mixed, the overall evidence strongly favors Ajax with minimal conflict.
Best Value
Ajax Win
3-Way Result
The 3-Way Ajax Win bet carries substantial value with an estimated 85% probability against a bookmaker implied probability of roughly 54% from odds of 1.85, yielding about a 57% edge. Comparison metrics including a 71% H2H advantage and a 64% Poisson home probability further reinforce this pick. Ajax’s strong home defense (67%) and favorable season stats add to the convergence of evidence. Despite a few mixed H2H results, the data aligns with a high confidence level. This option meets the required probability threshold while offering a significant value edge.
85%
prob.
1.85
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Ajax Win
Ajax H2H advantage of 71% vs Groningen 29%
85%
odds 1.85
Double Chance
Ajax or Draw
Ajax home form at 53% with 67% defensive rating
80%
odds 1.25
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
Ajax Groningen Groningen Ajax Ajax Groningen Groningen Ajax Ajax Groningen +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 27 | 84 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 65 |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 59 |
| 4 |  Twente | 34 | 15 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax ● | 34 | 14 | 56 |
| 6 |  Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 53 |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 52 |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 51 |
| 9 | Groningen ● | 34 | 14 | 48 |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 43 |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 34 | 11 | 39 |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 34 | 8 | 38 |
| 13 |  Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 38 |
| 14 |  Telstar | 34 | 9 | 37 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 37 |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 32 |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 29 |
| 18 |  Heracles | 34 | 5 | 19 |
Betting Odds
Match Winner
Ajax
1.90
Draw
3.70
Groningen
3.90
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1.60
Under 2.5
2.30
Both Teams Score
Yes
1.53
No
2.38
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