River Plate
Full Time
Rosario Central
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
River Plate Win
3-Way Result
80%
confidence
Our analysis indicates a strong River Plate advantage with 62% in head-to-head metrics and 64% in goals comparison, despite a lower home form at 41% compared to Rosario Central's 59%. The Poisson distribution also supports River Plate with a 56% chance versus 44% for opponents. Historical H2H results reveal several wins for River Plate, including a decisive 4-0, and season stats show River Plate's solid scoring (1.5 average) combined with 8 clean sheets. This convergent evidence leads us to pick a River Plate win. However, caution is advised given the mixed recent form with only 60% in their last-5 performance. We assign an 80% probability to this outcome.
Best Value
River Plate Win
3-Way Result
The River Plate win on the 3-Way market carries significant value given the implied probability of 50% from bookmaker odds of 2.00 and our 80% estimated chance. With an estimated value edge of 30% and multiple metrics such as 62% h2h and 64% goals favoring River Plate, the evidence converges in their favor. Season performance and historical data reinforce this outcome despite some concerns from recent form. This option offers a robust value edge while aligning with statistical trends. It meets the ≥80% probability and ≥30% value edge thresholds.
80%
prob.
2
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
River Plate Win
H2H advantage at 62% and 64% goals for
80%
odds 2
Double Chance
River Plate or Draw
Overall comparison showed 64% for goals in favor of home team
85%
odds 1.2
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 31 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 30 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 26 |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | 6 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 24 |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 19 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 16 |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 11 |
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate ● | 16 | 9 | 29 |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ● | 16 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 26 |
| 7 |  Huracan | 16 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 |  Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 |  Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 |  Tigre | 16 | 4 | 20 |
| 11 |  Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 19 |
| 12 |  Banfield | 16 | 5 | 18 |
| 13 |  Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 14 |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 5 |
| 1 | Defensa Y Justicia | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Newells Old Boys | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lanus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Independiente | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Boca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Union Santa Fe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Talleres Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Instituto Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Platense | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Gimnasia M. | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Argentinos JRS | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Belgrano Cordoba | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Aldosivi | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Tigre | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Banfield | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Racing Club | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Huracan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | River Plate ● | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Independ. Rivadavia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Barracas Central | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Sarmiento Junin | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Rosario Central ● | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Get the Full Match Experience
Live commentary, deep stats, AI analysis, and fantasy tools — all free in the Edge Score app.
Free forever with optional Premium. No credit card required.