Football
Liga Profesional Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina
· Apertura - Quarter-finals
River Plate

River Plate

2–0

Full Time

Gimnasia L.P.

Gimnasia L.P.

🏟 Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires
🟡 Leandro Rey Hilfer, Argentina
📋 Apertura - Quarter-finals
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home or Draw

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Medium Risk

Based on multiple metrics, the Double Chance market appears strongest. River Plate show a 71% advantage in head-to-head and their home goals metric is at 75%, and covering Home or Draw ensures protection. This pick is supported by season stats where River Plate registered 7 clean sheets and a 60% last-5 form. While the away team has a better recent form at 100%, the overall convergence of evidence favors River’s solidity. This option carries moderate risk with conflicting form but solid h2h evidence. Its estimated probability is 85%.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

The Under 2.5 Goals market stands out for value due to the predominance of low-scoring matches. River Plate’s home matches have recorded Under 2.5 goals in 13 out of 17 games (approximately 76%) and Gimnasia have shown an even more pronounced trend with Under outcomes in 16 out of 17 games (around 94%). Comparison metrics further favor this market with River’s defensive record and Poisson percentage of 56% supporting fewer goals. The convergence of season statistics and H2H trends indicate a strong likelihood of a low-scoring game. Despite moderate risk factors, the value edge is robust. Its estimated probability is 80% with a value edge rating of 5.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

River Plate 75% in home goals metric and 71% in h2h advantage

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Home or Draw

71% h2h advantage and 7 clean sheets at home

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

River Plate
River Plate
WWWWL
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
No data

Current Standings

2
River Plate
River Plate
16 P 9 W 29 Pts
6
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
16 P 8 W 26 Pts
6
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
0 P 0 W 0 Pts
9
River Plate
River Plate
0 P 0 W 0 Pts

Head to Head

14 May 26
River Plate River Plate
2–0
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
H
28 Jan 26
River Plate River Plate
2–0
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
H
2 Nov 25
River Plate River Plate
0–1
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
A
18 Apr 25
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
0–3
River Plate River Plate
A
17 Aug 24
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
1–1
River Plate River Plate
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
16 9 31
2
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
16 8 30
3
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
16 7 28
4
Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba
16 7 26
5
Independiente Independiente
16 6 24
6
Lanus Lanus
16 6 24
7
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
16 5 22
8
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
16 5 21
9
Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba
16 6 21
10
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
16 4 19
11
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M.
16 5 19
12
Platense Platense
16 3 16
13
Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago
16 4 16
14
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
16 3 15
15
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
16 1 11
1
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia
16 10 34
2
River Plate River Plate
16 9 29
3
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS
16 8 29
4
Rosario Central Rosario Central
16 8 28
5
Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba
16 7 26
6
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
16 8 26
7
Huracan Huracan
16 5 22
8
Racing Club Racing Club
16 5 21
9
Barracas Central Barracas Central
16 5 21
10
Tigre Tigre
16 4 20
11
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin
16 6 19
12
Banfield Banfield
16 5 18
13
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
16 3 14
14
Aldosivi Aldosivi
16 0 8
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
16 1 5
1
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
1 0 1
2
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
0 0 0
3
Lanus Lanus
0 0 0
4
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
0 0 0
5
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
0 0 0
6
Independiente Independiente
0 0 0
7
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
0 0 0
8
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
0 0 0
9
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
0 0 0
10
Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba
0 0 0
11
Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba
0 0 0
12
Platense Platense
0 0 0
13
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
0 0 0
14
Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago
0 0 0
15
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M.
0 0 0
1
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS
1 1 3
2
Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba
1 1 3
3
Aldosivi Aldosivi
1 0 1
4
Tigre Tigre
0 0 0
5
Banfield Banfield
0 0 0
6
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
0 0 0
7
Racing Club Racing Club
0 0 0
8
Huracan Huracan
0 0 0
9
River Plate River Plate
0 0 0
10
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
0 0 0
11
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia
0 0 0
12
Barracas Central Barracas Central
0 0 0
13
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0 0 0
14
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin
1 0 0
15
Rosario Central Rosario Central
1 0 0
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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