Football
Czech Liga Czech Liga
· Final
Sigma Olomouc

Sigma Olomouc

4–0

Full Time

Karviná

Karviná

🏟 Andruv Stadion, Olomouc
🟡 Daniel Vokoun, Czechia
📋 Final
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Sigma Olomouc Win

3-Way Result

75%

confidence

Odds: 1.5 bookmaker Medium Risk

Our overall analysis leans towards a Sigma Olomouc win as comparison metrics favor home (form 60% and attack/defense 59% vs 41%), despite H2H data showing an away edge (62%). Season stats back this with Sigma’s higher scoring average (2.0) and superior home clean sheet record (9). The conflicting H2H (with draws and away wins) introduces some risk but the home advantage in most metrics supports the call. We assign a conservative probability of 75% after weighing 35% comparison, 30% H2H and 25% season data. The bookmaker odds of 1.50 on

Best Value

Draw/Away

Double Chance

By targeting a market where bookmaker pricing is potentially inefficient, the Double Chance option on Draw/Away offers major value. The odds of 2.38 imply only a 42% chance while evidence from H2H (62% in favor of away outcomes in direct encounters) and the tendency for drawn matches supports a higher likelihood. Although overall form favors Sigma, the unpredictability in H2H and lower scoring season figures for Sigma suggest the match may not go to a home win. We assign an 80% probability to a non-home-win result, which translates to an estimated value edge over 30%. This convergence of H2H upset potential and inflated odds creates a value opportunity.

80%

prob.

2.38

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Sigma Olomouc Win

Home form at 60% vs away form at 40%

75%

odds 1.5

Double Chance

Sigma Olomouc or Draw

9 home clean sheets versus 1 away clean sheet

85%

odds 1.12

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc
WLLLD
Karviná
Karviná
LWWWL

Current Standings

7
Sigma Olomouc
Sigma Olomouc
30 P 12 W 43 Pts
9
Karviná
Karviná
30 P 12 W 39 Pts

Head to Head

23 May 26
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc
4–0
Karviná Karviná
H
16 May 26
Karviná Karviná
1–3
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc
A
15 Mar 26
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc
2–2
Karviná Karviná
D
18 Oct 25
Karviná Karviná
1–1
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc
D
5 Apr 25
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc
1–2
Karviná Karviná
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
35 24 80
2
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
35 23 76
3
Plzen Plzen
35 18 63
4
Hradec Králové Hradec Králové
35 16 56
5
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec
35 16 55
6
Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec
35 12 46
1
Teplice Teplice
35 10 42
2
Zlin Zlin
35 11 41
3
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
35 9 40
4
Slovácko Slovácko
35 7 30
5
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
35 7 29
6
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha
35 5 26
1
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
30 21 71
2
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
30 19 63
3
Plzen Plzen
30 15 53
4
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec
30 15 51
5
Hradec Králové Hradec Králové
30 14 49
6
Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec
30 12 46
7
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc
30 12 43
8
Pardubice Pardubice
30 11 41
9
Karviná Karviná
30 12 39
10
Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905
30 10 36
11
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
30 8 35
12
Zlin Zlin
30 9 34
13
Teplice Teplice
30 6 29
14
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha
30 4 23
15
Slovácko Slovácko
30 5 23
16
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
30 5 22
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Sigma Olomouc

1.53

Draw

3.90

Karviná

5.25

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.62

Under 2.5

2.25

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.67

No

2.10

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