Partick
Full Time
Dunfermline
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Partick or Draw
Double Chance
75%
confidence
Our analysis leans toward a safe outcome with Partick benefiting from a strong head-to-head advantage of 85% and a notable home goal rate of 73%, despite their modest recent form of 17% compared to 83% for Dunfermline. The double chance option covers both a win and a draw, mitigating risk from the conflicting league form and attacking stats. Historical head-to-head data further supports this, with multiple matches ending in draws or narrow wins. Given these mixed signals, we maintain a conservative stance with a 75% probability.
Best Value
Partick Win
3-Way Result
Despite conflicting league form, the head-to-head metric (85% in favor of the home team) and a strong home goals percentage (73%) justify a bold pick in the 3-Way market. We assign a high probability of 90% for a Partick win, which greatly exceeds the bookmaker’s implied probability from odds of 1.85. This disparity delivers a strong value edge, with our assessment indicating over a 30% edge relative to the odds. The convergence of H2H data and goal statistics supports this aggressive stance despite inherent risks.
90%
prob.
1.85
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Partick Win
H2H advantage of 85% and home goals at 73%
90%
odds 1.85
Double Chance
Partick or Draw
85% H2H and 73% home goal metric
75%
odds 1.2
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 33 | 21 | 70 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 33 | 19 | 69 |
| 3 |  Celtic | 33 | 21 | 67 |
| 4 |  Motherwell | 33 | 14 | 54 |
| 5 |  Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 |  Falkirk | 33 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 |  Dundee Utd | 33 | 9 | 40 |
| 8 |  Aberdeen | 33 | 9 | 33 |
| 9 |  Dundee | 33 | 8 | 33 |
| 10 |  ST Mirren | 33 | 7 | 30 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 33 | 6 | 28 |
| 12 |  Livingston | 33 | 1 | 16 |
| 1 | Celtic | 38 | 26 | 82 |
| 2 | Heart Of Midlothian | 38 | 24 | 80 |
| 3 | Rangers | 38 | 20 | 72 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 38 | 16 | 61 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 38 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 38 | 14 | 49 |
| 1 | Dundee Utd | 38 | 10 | 45 |
| 2 | Dundee | 38 | 11 | 42 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 38 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | Kilmarnock | 38 | 10 | 40 |
| 5 | ST Mirren | 38 | 8 | 34 |
| 6 | Livingston | 38 | 2 | 21 |
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