SC Freiburg
Full Time
Aston Villa
๐ค AI Predictions
Best Bet
SC Freiburg or Draw
Double Chance
85%
confidence
The Double Chance market offers safety as it covers both a SC Freiburg win and a draw. Comparison metrics show Freiburg's Poisson distribution of 69% and defensive rate of 29% which, combined with an 80% last-5 form, support a strong home advantage. Their home league data with 7 wins and 4 clean sheets reinforces this call. The bookmaker odds of 2.15 further enhance value, and the overall convergence of evidence leads to an 85% probability. This pick minimizes risk while accounting for all available stats. With multiple independent metrics aligning, it stands out as our highest confidence option.
Best Value
SC Freiburg Win
3-Way Result
SC Freiburg Win emerges as a value play with strong home indicators. Comparison metrics show a Poisson distribution of 69% and a solid defensive percentage of 29% for Freiburg compared to 71% for Aston Villa. Season statistics also indicate a home goals average of 2.4, which supports our call. The bookmaker odds of 5.25 contrast sharply with the implied probability derived from our data, yielding a significant value edge of over 60%. With an 80% probability and converging evidence from multiple metrics, the risk is controlled. This makes it the best optimal option with a high value edge.
80%
prob.
5.25
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
SC Freiburg Win
Poisson 69% for Freiburg vs 31% for Villa
80%
odds 5.25
Double Chance
SC Freiburg or Draw
80% last-5 form and 4 home clean sheets
85%
odds 2.15
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 8 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa โ | 8 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 |  FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg โ | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 8 |  AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 |  Genk | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Bologna | 8 | 4 | 15 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 12 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 8 | 4 | 15 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 14 |  Plzen | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 17 |  PAOK | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 18 |  Lille | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 19 |  Fenerbahรงe | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 20 |  Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 21 |  Celtic | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 22 |  Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 23 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 24 |  Brann | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 25 |  BSC Young Boys | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 26 |  Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 27 |  FCSB | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 28 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 29 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 30 |  FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 31 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 32 |  Rangers | 8 | 1 | 4 |
| 33 |  Nice | 8 | 1 | 3 |
| 34 |  Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| 35 |  Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| 36 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 |
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