Football โ€บ
Liga Profesional Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina
ยท Apertura - Round of 16
Rosario Central

Rosario Central

3โ€“1

Full Time

Independiente

Independiente

๐ŸŸ Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario
๐ŸŸก Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina
๐Ÿ“‹ Apertura - Round of 16
๐Ÿ“… 2026

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

Independiente Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 4.1 bookmaker Medium Risk

Our analysis strongly favors Independiente to win given multiple data points. The headโ€toโ€head metric shows Independiente with a 71% advantage while the goals comparison gives them a 67% edge. Season statistics also highlight Independienteโ€™s reliability as they failed to score only once compared to Rosario Centralโ€™s four failures. Recent H2H results reinforce this with Independiente winning a majority of encounters. Comparison metrics (35%) and H2H (30%) converge in favor of Independiente. Considering these factors, we assign an 80% probability for an Independiente win, though note typical match risks.

Best Value

โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…

Draw/Away

Double Chance

The double chance market for Draw/Away offers excellent value with converging evidence. Independienteโ€™s strong head-to-head performance (71%) and season data, where they only failed to score once, support a high probability for this outcome. With an estimated 90% chance and bookmaker odds of 1.67, the implied probability is around 59.9%, yielding a value edge of approximately 30%. The metrics from H2H and season stats further validate this option despite minor form fluctuations. This bet carries some risk inherent in its nature but the convergence of evidence makes it compelling. Therefore, this option scores a value rating of 5.

90%

prob.

1.67

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Independiente Win

Independiente win in 71% of H2H encounters

80%

odds 4.1

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Independiente win at 71% plus draw likelihood leads to ~90%

90%

odds 1.67

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Rosario Central
Rosario Central
DWWWW
Independiente
Independiente
No data

Current Standings

5
Independiente
Independiente
16 P 6 W 24 Pts
4
Rosario Central
Rosario Central
16 P 8 W 28 Pts
7
Rosario Central
Rosario Central
16 P 8 W 28 Pts
11
Independiente
Independiente
16 P 6 W 24 Pts
6
Rosario Central
Rosario Central
89 P 0 W 141 Pts
8
Independiente
Independiente
89 P 0 W 134 Pts

Head to Head

10 May 26
Rosario Central Rosario Central
3โ€“1
Independiente Independiente
H
16 Nov 25
Independiente Independiente
1โ€“0
Rosario Central Rosario Central
H
3 May 25
Rosario Central Rosario Central
1โ€“0
Independiente Independiente
H
17 Aug 24
Independiente Independiente
1โ€“0
Rosario Central Rosario Central
H
14 Feb 24
Independiente Independiente
1โ€“0
Rosario Central Rosario Central
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
16 8 29
2
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
16 6 25
3
Racing Club Racing Club
16 7 25
4
Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago
16 5 24
5
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS
16 7 24
6
Barracas Central Barracas Central
16 5 23
7
Tigre Tigre
16 5 22
8
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
16 6 21
9
Banfield Banfield
16 6 21
10
Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba
16 4 20
11
Huracan Huracan
16 5 20
12
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
16 5 19
13
Aldosivi Aldosivi
16 5 18
14
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia
16 3 16
15
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
16 3 14
1
Rosario Central Rosario Central โ—
16 8 31
2
Lanus Lanus
16 9 30
3
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
16 8 28
4
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
16 7 26
5
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
16 6 24
6
River Plate River Plate
16 6 22
7
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
16 7 22
8
Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba
16 5 21
9
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin
16 5 20
10
San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J.
16 4 19
11
Independiente Independiente โ—
16 4 18
12
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
16 5 18
13
Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba
16 3 16
14
Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz
16 1 12
15
Platense Platense
16 2 12
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
โšฝ ๐Ÿ€ โšพ ๐ŸŽพ ๐Ÿˆ

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