Millwall's recent form stands out with a 73% last-5 rate compared to Hull City's 33%, and their attacking metric of 53% versus 47% favors them. The Poisson distribution also leans 59% in favor of Millwall, reinforcing their edge despite a slight h2h conflict (Hull City's 71% historical home advantage). The aggregated comparison metrics (35%) and H2H data (30%) strongly support a Millwall win while season averages (1.6 vs 1.4 goals) back this up. Although past encounters show mixed outcomes, the convergence of current performance indicators makes this a confident pick. The risk remains moderate given the historical variability, but overall evidence aligns.