Pafos
Full Time
Apoel Nicosia
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Pafos or Draw
Double Chance
80%
confidence
The double chance pick is based on Pafos’ overall advantage of 59.3% and a home form of 56% compared to a 44% away edge. With a strong attacking metric of 67% versus 33% for Apoel, covering a draw reduces risk. Recent head‐to‐head data also favor the home side and bolster the call. Season statistics underline a consistency in scoring while maintaining defensive solidity. This convergence of metrics supports a conservative 80% probability for a Pafos or Draw outcome. Bookmaker odds of 1.17 further reinforce the safety of this bet.
Best Value
Pafos Win
3-Way Result
The optimal bet selects a 3-Way home win based on compelling evidence: a 63% Poisson home advantage and a 67% attacking strength for Pafos. Head-to-head metrics, with 62% favoring the home side, further support this pick. These independent stats justify an 82% probability, and the bookmaker odds of 1.80 offer significant value. The implied fair odds of approximately 1.22 indicate a value edge exceeding 30%. Season form and recent trends add to the robustness of this aggressive call. Although risk is inherent in a 3-Way market, the convergent evidence makes it a strong value opportunity.
82%
prob.
1.8
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Pafos Win
Pafos: 63% Poisson home vs 37% away
82%
odds 1.8
Double Chance
Pafos or Draw
Overall: 59.3% home vs 40.7% away
80%
odds 1.17
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omonia Nicosia | 26 | 19 | 61 |
| 2 |  AEK Larnaca | 26 | 16 | 53 |
| 3 |  Apollon Limassol | 26 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Pafos ● | 26 | 16 | 51 |
| 5 | Apoel Nicosia ● | 26 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 |  Aris | 26 | 12 | 43 |
| 7 |  Omonia Aradippou | 26 | 10 | 34 |
| 8 |  AEL | 26 | 10 | 33 |
| 9 |  Anorthosis | 26 | 7 | 32 |
| 10 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 26 | 8 | 28 |
| 11 |  Olympiakos | 26 | 6 | 28 |
| 12 |  Akritas | 26 | 7 | 26 |
| 13 |  Ethnikos Achna | 26 | 7 | 23 |
| 14 |  Enosis | 26 | 0 | 1 |
| 1 | Omonia Nicosia | 36 | 27 | 87 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 36 | 20 | 69 |
| 3 | Apollon Limassol | 36 | 20 | 67 |
| 4 | Pafos ● | 36 | 18 | 62 |
| 5 | Apoel Nicosia ● | 36 | 15 | 52 |
| 6 | Aris | 36 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Anorthosis | 33 | 11 | 45 |
| 8 | AEL | 33 | 13 | 44 |
| 9 | Omonia Aradippou | 33 | 12 | 42 |
| 10 | Krasava Ypsonas | 33 | 11 | 40 |
| 11 | Olympiakos | 33 | 10 | 40 |
| 12 | Akritas | 33 | 10 | 35 |
| 13 | Ethnikos Achna | 33 | 10 | 33 |
| 14 | Enosis | 33 | 1 | 5 |
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