Aris
Full Time
AEK Larnaca
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
AEK Larnaca Win
3-Way Result
80%
confidence
The comparison metrics show AEK Larnaca's form at 73% and attacking strength at 67% compared to Aris's 27% and 33%, supporting an away win. Season data also highlights AEK's overall percentage of 61% compared to 39% for home outcomes, reinforcing this pick. H2H evidence reveals that AEK secured wins in several of the 10 recent matches, with multiple decisive victories. Despite some balanced Poisson and h2h figures at 50%, the convergence of form and season stats justifies a conservative 80% probability. The risk is moderate given occasional conflicting signals from H2H draws. Overall, the evidence firmly supports an AEK Larnaca win.
Best Value
AEK Larnaca Win
3-Way Result
The 3-Way AEK Larnaca win offers a strong value edge, with our 80% probability far exceeding the 41.67% implied by bookmaker odds of 2.40, yielding an edge of about 38%. Comparison metrics, including 73% form and 71% defensive rating for the away team, further reinforce this choice. Recent H2H evidence, where AEK achieved several wins out of 10 matches, adds weight to the prediction. Season stats and overall provider metrics also converge in favor of AEK. With an 80% probability and a value rating of 5, the bet carries moderate risk but represents the most advantageous option.
80%
prob.
2.4
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
AEK Larnaca Win
Away form at 73% vs Home 27%
80%
odds 2.4
Double Chance
Draw/Away
Provider total away percentage is 61%
75%
odds 1.36
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
Aris AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca Aris Aris AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca Aris Aris AEK Larnaca +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pafos | 36 | 26 | 82 |
| 2 | Aris ● | 36 | 22 | 75 |
| 3 |  Omonia Nicosia | 36 | 20 | 68 |
| 4 | AEK Larnaca ● | 36 | 19 | 68 |
| 5 |  Apoel Nicosia | 36 | 14 | 53 |
| 6 |  Apollon Limassol | 36 | 12 | 46 |
| 1 |  Anorthosis | 33 | 15 | 52 |
| 2 |  AEL | 33 | 11 | 39 |
| 3 |  Ethnikos Achna | 33 | 9 | 39 |
| 4 |  Omonia Aradippou | 33 | 10 | 35 |
| 5 |  Enosis | 33 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 |  Karmiotissa | 33 | 9 | 34 |
| 7 |  Nea Salamis | 33 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 |  Omonia 29is Maiou | 33 | 3 | 14 |
| 1 | Pafos | 26 | 20 | 62 |
| 2 | Aris ● | 26 | 18 | 61 |
| 3 | AEK Larnaca ● | 26 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 | Omonia Nicosia | 26 | 16 | 52 |
| 5 | Apoel Nicosia | 26 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Apollon Limassol | 26 | 11 | 40 |
| 7 | Anorthosis | 26 | 10 | 37 |
| 8 | Ethnikos Achna | 26 | 6 | 29 |
| 9 | Karmiotissa | 26 | 7 | 27 |
| 10 | Omonia Aradippou | 26 | 7 | 26 |
| 11 | AEL | 26 | 6 | 24 |
| 12 | Enosis | 26 | 5 | 19 |
| 13 | Nea Salamis | 26 | 4 | 17 |
| 14 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 26 | 3 | 14 |
Betting Odds
Match Winner
Aris
2.25
Draw
3.60
AEK Larnaca
2.90
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1.73
Under 2.5
2.08
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