Pafos
Full Time
Aris
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Pafos or Draw
Double Chance
90%
confidence
Evaluating the multifactor evidence, the double chance bet of 'Pafos or Draw' stands out with robust support from H2H figures (85% favoring Pafos at home) and season data where Pafos secured 9 wins in 16 home fixtures. This option hedges risk from Pafos’ recent last‐5 form at 20% while capitalizing on their overall home advantage. The defensive records (8 clean sheets at home) and Poisson distribution (68% in favor) further reinforce this safety. Despite some concerns from recent form differences, the convergence of H2H and season metrics justifies a high confidence level.
Best Value
Pafos Win
3-Way Result
Considering value, the 'Pafos Win' 3-Way result offers an attractive edge. With H2H dominance (85% in favor) and strong goals metric at 71%, this outcome is assigned a 90% probability against an implied 57.8% likelihood from the bookmaker odds. This discrepancy translates to roughly a 32% value edge. While recent last-5 data shows a low 20% form for Pafos, the overall evidence from comparison metrics and season averages converges confidently on a home win.
90%
prob.
1.73
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Pafos Win
H2H advantage at 85% and goals metric at 71%
90%
odds 1.73
Double Chance
Pafos or Draw
9 home wins out of 16 and 85% H2H advantage
90%
odds 1.2
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omonia Nicosia | 26 | 19 | 61 |
| 2 |  AEK Larnaca | 26 | 16 | 53 |
| 3 |  Apollon Limassol | 26 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Pafos ● | 26 | 16 | 51 |
| 5 |  Apoel Nicosia | 26 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Aris ● | 26 | 12 | 43 |
| 7 |  Omonia Aradippou | 26 | 10 | 34 |
| 8 |  AEL | 26 | 10 | 33 |
| 9 |  Anorthosis | 26 | 7 | 32 |
| 10 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 26 | 8 | 28 |
| 11 |  Olympiakos | 26 | 6 | 28 |
| 12 |  Akritas | 26 | 7 | 26 |
| 13 |  Ethnikos Achna | 26 | 7 | 23 |
| 14 |  Enosis | 26 | 0 | 1 |
| 1 | Omonia Nicosia | 36 | 27 | 87 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 36 | 20 | 69 |
| 3 | Apollon Limassol | 36 | 20 | 67 |
| 4 | Pafos ● | 36 | 18 | 62 |
| 5 | Apoel Nicosia | 36 | 15 | 52 |
| 6 | Aris ● | 36 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Anorthosis | 33 | 11 | 45 |
| 8 | AEL | 33 | 13 | 44 |
| 9 | Omonia Aradippou | 33 | 12 | 42 |
| 10 | Krasava Ypsonas | 33 | 11 | 40 |
| 11 | Olympiakos | 33 | 10 | 40 |
| 12 | Akritas | 33 | 10 | 35 |
| 13 | Ethnikos Achna | 33 | 10 | 33 |
| 14 | Enosis | 33 | 1 | 5 |
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