Football
Championship Championship
· Semi-finals
Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir

1–1

Full Time

Queen of the South

Queen of the South

🏟 Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir
🟡 E. Anderson
📋 Semi-finals
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Medium Risk

The Under 2.5 Goals market is supported by multiple metrics: the home team’s under_over record shows a 100% indicator under 2.5 (over: 0, under: 1) and H2H evidence consistently features low scoring matches with 1-1 and 0-0 outcomes. Additionally, the overall goals comparison favors the home side at 63% while both teams average 1.0 goal per game, reinforcing a low-scoring encounter. Season stats and H2H results with several draws further consolidate this pick. Although drawing from these converging indicators, the possibility of an upset persists, so the risk remains Medium. Given the overall alignment, this is our best bet with strong evidence converging.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

For a value-oriented bet, we also consider the Under 2.5 Goals market which shows an 85% probability and aligns with season indicators, including a 100% under indicator in the home team’s under_over threshold and past H2H low-scoring outcomes. Despite the convergence of the evidence, the calculated value edge is minimal given the odds. Both comparison metrics and season stats support a low scoring game, yet the odds of 1.18 translate to an implied probability nearly matching our assessment with little margin for overperformance. Thus, while the probability meets the threshold, the value edge remains low, and bettors should be mindful of the slim benefit in the odds. Overall, evidence points in the same direction, albeit with limited extra value.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

H2H home win at 64%

64%

odds 1.56

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Double chance at 80% probability

80%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
WDWWL
Queen of the South
Queen of the South
LDWDD

Head to Head

9 May 26
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
1–1
Queen of the South Queen of the South
H
5 May 26
Queen of the South Queen of the South
1–1
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
D
7 Mar 26
Queen of the South Queen of the South
1–1
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
D
3 Jan 26
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
2–0
Queen of the South Queen of the South
H
1 Nov 25
Queen of the South Queen of the South
1–1
Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone
36 22 77
2
Partick Partick
36 17 66
3
Arbroath Arbroath
36 13 52
4
Dunfermline Dunfermline
36 14 51
5
Raith Rovers Raith Rovers
36 12 45
6
Queen's Park Queen's Park
36 9 41
7
Ayr Utd Ayr Utd
36 8 39
8
Morton Morton
36 8 38
9
Airdrie United Airdrie United
36 8 36
10
Ross County Ross County
36 8 34
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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