Football
Czech Liga Czech Liga
· Championship Group - 5
Sparta Praha

Sparta Praha

2–1

Full Time

Hradec Králové

Hradec Králové

🏟 epet ARENA, Prague
🟡 Jan Machalek, Czechia
📋 Championship Group - 5
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Sparta Praha or Draw

Double Chance

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.17 bookmaker Low Risk

Based on multiple independent indicators, the safer option is Double Chance: Sparta Praha or Draw. The comparison metrics show a significant home advantage with a defense rating of 63% versus 38% and a h2h favoring home at 80%. Additionally, season data and recent H2H matches reinforce Sparta’s solidity, making the double chance attractive. The bookmaker odds of 1.17 further support this low-risk option. Although both teams have similar form stats at 50%, the defensive and h2h edge provides a solid basis. Overall, the convergence of evidence gives a confidence of 90% with a low risk note.

Best Value

Sparta Praha Win

3-Way Result

The best value option is a 3-Way Result predicting a Sparta Praha win. With bookmaker odds at 1.60, the implied probability is around 62.5%, and our conservative estimate of 93% provides a value edge of over 30%. Comparison metrics support this with a Poisson distribution of 65% for home and a h2h advantage of 80%. Season goals data shows Sparta scored 77% to 23% in their favor, reinforcing the home win. This pick carries some risk but converges strongly from multiple metrics. The value rating is maximized at 5 due to a 30.5% edge.

93%

prob.

1.6

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Sparta Praha Win

Home win h2h advantage at 80%

85%

odds 1.6

Double Chance

Sparta Praha or Draw

Double Chance probability at 90%

90%

odds 1.17

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Sparta Praha
Sparta Praha
No data
Hradec Králové
Hradec Králové
No data

Current Standings

2
Sparta Praha
Sparta Praha
35 P 23 W 76 Pts
4
Hradec Králové
Hradec Králové
35 P 16 W 56 Pts
2
Sparta Praha
Sparta Praha
30 P 19 W 63 Pts
5
Hradec Králové
Hradec Králové
30 P 14 W 49 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
35 24 80
2
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
35 23 76
3
Plzen Plzen
35 18 63
4
Hradec Králové Hradec Králové
35 16 56
5
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec
35 16 55
6
Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec
35 12 46
1
Teplice Teplice
35 10 42
2
Zlin Zlin
35 11 41
3
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
35 9 40
4
Slovácko Slovácko
35 7 30
5
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
35 7 29
6
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha
35 5 26
1
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
30 21 71
2
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
30 19 63
3
Plzen Plzen
30 15 53
4
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec
30 15 51
5
Hradec Králové Hradec Králové
30 14 49
6
Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec
30 12 46
7
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc
30 12 43
8
Pardubice Pardubice
30 11 41
9
Karviná Karviná
30 12 39
10
Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905
30 10 36
11
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
30 8 35
12
Zlin Zlin
30 9 34
13
Teplice Teplice
30 6 29
14
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha
30 4 23
15
Slovácko Slovácko
30 5 23
16
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
30 5 22
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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