Sparta Praha
Full Time
Hradec Králové
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Sparta Praha or Draw
Double Chance
90%
confidence
Based on multiple independent indicators, the safer option is Double Chance: Sparta Praha or Draw. The comparison metrics show a significant home advantage with a defense rating of 63% versus 38% and a h2h favoring home at 80%. Additionally, season data and recent H2H matches reinforce Sparta’s solidity, making the double chance attractive. The bookmaker odds of 1.17 further support this low-risk option. Although both teams have similar form stats at 50%, the defensive and h2h edge provides a solid basis. Overall, the convergence of evidence gives a confidence of 90% with a low risk note.
Best Value
Sparta Praha Win
3-Way Result
The best value option is a 3-Way Result predicting a Sparta Praha win. With bookmaker odds at 1.60, the implied probability is around 62.5%, and our conservative estimate of 93% provides a value edge of over 30%. Comparison metrics support this with a Poisson distribution of 65% for home and a h2h advantage of 80%. Season goals data shows Sparta scored 77% to 23% in their favor, reinforcing the home win. This pick carries some risk but converges strongly from multiple metrics. The value rating is maximized at 5 due to a 30.5% edge.
93%
prob.
1.6
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Sparta Praha Win
Home win h2h advantage at 80%
85%
odds 1.6
Double Chance
Sparta Praha or Draw
Double Chance probability at 90%
90%
odds 1.17
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 35 | 24 | 80 |
| 2 | Sparta Praha ● | 35 | 23 | 76 |
| 3 | Plzen | 35 | 18 | 63 |
| 4 | Hradec Králové ● | 35 | 16 | 56 |
| 5 | FK Jablonec | 35 | 16 | 55 |
| 6 | Slovan Liberec | 35 | 12 | 46 |
| 1 | Teplice | 35 | 10 | 42 |
| 2 | Zlin | 35 | 11 | 41 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 35 | 9 | 40 |
| 4 | Slovácko | 35 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Baník Ostrava | 35 | 7 | 29 |
| 6 | Dukla Praha | 35 | 5 | 26 |
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 30 | 21 | 71 |
| 2 | Sparta Praha ● | 30 | 19 | 63 |
| 3 | Plzen | 30 | 15 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Jablonec | 30 | 15 | 51 |
| 5 | Hradec Králové ● | 30 | 14 | 49 |
| 6 | Slovan Liberec | 30 | 12 | 46 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 30 | 12 | 43 |
| 8 | Pardubice | 30 | 11 | 41 |
| 9 | Karviná | 30 | 12 | 39 |
| 10 | Bohemians 1905 | 30 | 10 | 36 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 30 | 8 | 35 |
| 12 | Zlin | 30 | 9 | 34 |
| 13 | Teplice | 30 | 6 | 29 |
| 14 | Dukla Praha | 30 | 4 | 23 |
| 15 | Slovácko | 30 | 5 | 23 |
| 16 | Baník Ostrava | 30 | 5 | 22 |
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