Apoel Nicosia
Full Time
AEK Larnaca
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
AEK Larnaca Win
3-Way Result
90%
confidence
Our analysis strongly favors AEK Larnaca given multiple metrics: the comparison shows a 93% advantage in H2H for the away side and a 67% form percentage compared to 33%, while the goals metric stands at 80% for AEK. Historical H2H evidence confirms AEK’s dominance, with decisive wins in most of the past fixtures. Season data underscores AEK’s scoring consistency and stronger defensive performances with fewer failed-to-score counts. This convergence across 35% comparison metrics, 30% H2H evidence, and 25% season stats sets a low-risk environment. The provider’s own advice supports the away side. Our confidence is very high at 90% due to the widespread alignment of evidence.
Best Value
AEK Larnaca
Team to Score First
A notable value edge is found in the Team to Score First market. AEK Larnaca has shown a trend to score early in key head-to-head matches, scoring first in at least 6 out of 10 fixtures. The bookmaker odds of 1.80 yield an implied probability around 55.6%, which, compared to our estimated 88%, suggests a value edge exceeding 30%. Additional supporting evidence comes from AEK’s average season scoring stats and favorable last-5 performance. Despite risks inherent in first-goal markets, the data converges solidly. Therefore, our optimal pick carries an 88% probability.
88%
prob.
1.8
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
AEK Larnaca Win
H2H away advantage at 93%
90%
odds 2.45
Double Chance
Draw/Away
Form: 67% away and H2H: 93% advantage
92%
odds 1.4
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omonia Nicosia | 26 | 19 | 61 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca ● | 26 | 16 | 53 |
| 3 |  Apollon Limassol | 26 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 |  Pafos | 26 | 16 | 51 |
| 5 | Apoel Nicosia ● | 26 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 |  Aris | 26 | 12 | 43 |
| 7 |  Omonia Aradippou | 26 | 10 | 34 |
| 8 |  AEL | 26 | 10 | 33 |
| 9 |  Anorthosis | 26 | 7 | 32 |
| 10 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 26 | 8 | 28 |
| 11 |  Olympiakos | 26 | 6 | 28 |
| 12 |  Akritas | 26 | 7 | 26 |
| 13 |  Ethnikos Achna | 26 | 7 | 23 |
| 14 |  Enosis | 26 | 0 | 1 |
| 1 | Omonia Nicosia | 36 | 27 | 87 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca ● | 36 | 20 | 69 |
| 3 | Apollon Limassol | 36 | 20 | 67 |
| 4 | Pafos | 36 | 18 | 62 |
| 5 | Apoel Nicosia ● | 36 | 15 | 52 |
| 6 | Aris | 36 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Anorthosis | 33 | 11 | 45 |
| 8 | AEL | 33 | 13 | 44 |
| 9 | Omonia Aradippou | 33 | 12 | 42 |
| 10 | Krasava Ypsonas | 33 | 11 | 40 |
| 11 | Olympiakos | 33 | 10 | 40 |
| 12 | Akritas | 33 | 10 | 35 |
| 13 | Ethnikos Achna | 33 | 10 | 33 |
| 14 | Enosis | 33 | 1 | 5 |
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