All key metrics point towards an away advantage with strong indicators: the comparison form shows 67% in favor of Khorfakkan versus 33% for Al-Ittihad Kalba and a Poisson distribution of 59% for Khorfakkan. The historical head-to-head also features mixed results, yet the overall season stats and last-5 form bolster an away win. This pick is conservative with evidence from the away team’s improved defensive record (62% vs 38%) and better form in recent matches. Caution is advised given the balanced H2H at 50-50, but the cumulative evidence supports an away victory.